Signaling Effect

  • 详情 How Do Online Media Affect Cash Dividends? Evidence from China
    Using a comprehensive dataset for Chinese listed companies from 2009 to 2021, we find that online media is negatively associated with cash dividend level, and the proportion of positive news has a negative moderating effect on this relationship. Our results support the "information intermediary" effect and exclude the "external governance" and "market pressure" effects. We further propose that online media weakens the positive relationship between cash dividends and past earnings (rather than the future), indicating that cash dividends contain signals of improvement in past earnings and are replaced by online news. We also find that only firms with more positive news pay dividends that have signaling effects, and there is a synergistic effect between positive news and dividend signal. Additional results show that the effect of online media on dividend policy is more pronounced than traditional media, which has almost no influence. Our main conclusions remain valid after addressing potential endogeneity issues and conducting various robustness tests.
  • 详情 Costs or Signals: The Role of "Social Insurance and Housing Fund" in the Labor Market
    In China's labor market, there is a phenomenon that enterprises choose whether to provide "social insurance and housing fund" to laborers autonomously. This paper use micro-data from two leading Internet recruitment platforms and empirically finds that in a labor market with double-side information asymmetry, "social insurance and housing fund" is not only a cost but also a signal. Providing workers with "social insurance and housing fund" can both send a signal of stable operation to the labor market and identify high-quality workers for enterprises. With an instrument variable of local average social security payment rate, this paper excludes the endogenous effect of labor supply on wages while the signaling effect above is still significant. In addition, "housing fund" has a stronger signaling effect than "social insurance", and the strength of the two signaling effects is affected by the scale of the enterprises and the level of local payment rates. This paper also introduces a theoretical framework of two micro-mechanisms — signaling and screening — into the analysis. In terms of policies, this paper proposes to strengthen the information disclosure and the propagation of social security payment, and further reduce the financial burden of enterprises.
  • 详情 Why do firms issue bonds in the offshore market? Evidence from China
    International debt financing is important for the development of emerging economies, as it allows firms from emerging markets (EMs) to have access to greater liquidity, a wider investor base, and more effective laws and regulations. However, the financial crisis in the late 1990s, coupled with recent rapid growth in corporate leverage in emerging markets, have forced policy makers to re-evaluate the risk of offshore financing and its role in EMs’ development. In this paper, we investigate the bonding/signaling effect of offshore financing to those firms in subsequent domestic market financing through the improvement of information disclosure and creditability. With a comprehensive database covering bond issuances by Chinese firms both in domestic and offshore markets over the period of 2010 to 2015, we find that: 1) The offshore bond issuance has a positive bonding/signaling effect on firm’s subsequent debt-raising in the domestic market in terms of longer maturity of corporate issuance and lower funding cost. 2) If the offshore issuance occurs in a stricter jurisdiction providing more effective investor protection and stringent disclosure, or with an international investment-grade rating, it will have a positive influence on firm’s subsequent debt-raising domestically. 3) Offshore debt financing improves the long-term firm performance, especially for financially-constrained companies. Our study presents new evidence for the role of the offshore market in promoting both the domestic institutional environment as well as firm growth, and provides policy implications for developing a broad offshore corporate bond market in emerging economies.