详情
How do Investors React to Biased Information? Evidence from Chinese IPO Auctions
We study how institutional investors utilize potentially biased information by analyzing
the e ect of IPO underwriters' earnings forecasts on investors' bidding behaviors in
Chinese IPO auctions. Despite the presence of upward biases in underwriters' earnings
forecasts, we nd that investors' bid prices are higher in IPOs with higher earnings
forecasts. The investors' positive reaction to biased information can be explained in a
rational expectation model where the underwriter has valuable information about the
IPO but has a biased incentive in presenting the information to investors. Consistent
with the model's predictions, we nd that an investor's bid price is more sensitive to the
underwriter's earnings forecast when the forecast bias is expected to be smaller, when
the relative precision of the underwriter's information over the investor's information
is higher, and when the investor has a higher valuation of the IPO.