futures and options

  • 详情 Is There an Intraday Momentum Effect in Commodity Futures and Options: Evidence from the Chinese Market
    Based on high-frequency data of China's commodity market from 2017 to 2022, this article examines the intraday momentum effect. The results indicate that China's commodity futures and options have significant intraday reversal effects, and the overnight opening factor and opening to last half hour factor are more significant. These effects are driven, in part, by liquidity factors. This trend aligns with market makers' behavior, passively accepting orders during low liquidity and actively closing positions amid high liquidity. Furthermore, our examination of cross-predictive ability shows strong futures-to-options predictability, while the reverse is weaker. We posit options traders' Vega hedging as a key factor in this phenomenon, our study finds futures volatility changes can predict options’ return.
  • 详情 Price Discovery in China's Crude Oil Derivatives Market
    This study is the first to examine China’s crude oil options market. Using high-frequency data and three different price discovery measures, we conduct a rigorous analysis and find that after its first 8 months of operation, China’s crude oil options market has already played an important role in price discovery. Factors such as volume, volatility, and speculation can impact its price discovery ability. We also find a unique phenomenon in China’s crude oil derivatives market, namely that speculative activity mainly occurs in the futures market and adds to the price discovery of the futures market rather than to the options
  • 详情 A study on Chinese Yuan index and its Derivatives
    Following the successful experience of USDX, this paper gives a profile of how to design a foreign exchange index for China and elaborates three functions and implications of CNYX in foreign exchange market. This paper also demonstrate the models to get the equilibrium price of CNYX derivatives. CNYX derivatives provide traders and hedgers with a tool for avoiding risk and give a new approach for China’s large foreign reserve to optimize its structure to prevent the devaluation.