innovation

  • 详情 Digital Signals in the Market for Corporate Control: How AI Transformation Affects M&A Outcomes in China
    This study examines the role of artificial intelligence (AI) adoption in the market for corporate control using a sample of Chinese listed firms from 2011 to 2021. We construct a novel firm-level AI Index through textual analysis of annual reports and find that AI adoption significantly enhances both the likelihood of becoming an acquisition target and the valuation premiums commanded in M&A transactions. Specifically, a one-standard-deviation increase in the AI Index is associated with a significant increase in the probability of being acquired and higher deal premiums measured by price-to-earnings multiples. We identify two channels through which AI adoption creates value recognized by the M&A market: an efficiency channel, whereby AI reduces agency costs and improves profitability, and an innovation channel, evidenced by increased high-quality patent output. The persistence of these effects over time further suggests that AI adoption generates substantive improvements in firm fundamentals rather than serving as a transitory informational signal. Importantly, we document significant heterogeneity across ownership structures: the positive effects of AI adoption are substantially weaker for State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) than for non-SOEs. Our findings contribute to the literature on digital transformation and corporate finance by demonstrating that AI adoption serves as a value-relevant firm attribute that shapes outcomes in the market for corporate control.
  • 详情 Synergistic Driving Mechanisms of Full Guaranteed Purchase and Tradable Green Certificates Systems on Renewable Energy Integration
    The Full Guaranteed Purchase System began to replace the subsidy system as the core policy for promoting renewable energy integration, designating grid companies as the sole entity responsible for the physical integration of renewable energy. Meanwhile, the Tradable Green Certificates system provides environmental benefits for renewable power generators through market mechanisms. Therefore, exploring the strategic choices of various entities under the dual policy interventions, and uncovering the mechanisms for realizing electricity energy value and green value under different integration models, is of great significance for advancing China’s renewable energy integration. Based on China’s actual conditions, this study integrates the features of both policies and constructs a three-party evolutionary game model involving government, power generators, and grid enterprises to simulate their interactions and identify key factors influencing strategic choices. The results show that active government regulation effectively encourages positive strategies from both generators and grid companies, and that active power integration by grid companies further promotes green power generation. A “stepwise complementary” relationship exists among reputation gains, reputation losses, and regulatory costs: higher reputation gains can offset decision-making resistance arising from increased regulatory costs. Green power generation costs and innovation costs have significant negative effects on strategic choices, while the guaranteed purchase price has a significant positive effect on generators’ active strategies. The penalty parameter plays a key positive role in grid companies’ active strategies, and the guaranteed purchase price significantly influences their active integration behavior. This paper provides recommendations for motivating all entities actively participate in the consumption process.
  • 详情 Slow Progress or Quick Success: Does green credit facilitate the service transformation of Chinese manufacturing enterprises?
    Breaking away from being “large but not strong” and accelerating the internal “dual circulation” reform to integrate the manufacturing and service industries is a daunting challenge. This study examines how environmental regulations and financial instruments can simultaneously drive servitization evolution and green transformation. Utilizing the Green Credit Guidelines (GCG) policy rollout by China in 2012 as a quasi-natural experiment, we analyze 2007-2021 data from A-share listed manufacturing corporations through DID model to evaluate the policy ramifications and investigate servitization direction. The results show that: (1) While GCG generally promotes overall servitization, it biases firms toward traditional rather than modern servitization pathways. (2) Contrary to typical innovation compensation effects, GCG induces short-sight in managerial decisions, favoring quick wins over innovation-driven progress. These results highlight why firms have tended to advance traditional servitization while constraining modern servitization efforts. (3) Heterogeneity analysis shows stronger policy impacts in firms with domestically-oriented executives and domestic ownership, where both overall and traditional servitization are significantly enhanced.
  • 详情 Tackling India's jobs plight: underutilised levers and lessons from China
    Despite strong GDP growth and a favourable demographic profile, India faces an impending jobs crisis. A large share of the workforce remains employed in low-productivity agriculture, while many new labour market entrants are absorbed into the persistently large informal sector. By contrast, China’s rapid ascent was driven by manufacturing-led, export-oriented industrialisation, underpinned by large inflows of foreign direct investment and sustained technology transfer. India’s manufacturing base remains modest in contrast. The bulk of well-paid, formal employment continues to be concentrated in the high-skill services sector. This paper contrasts the development trajectories of these two economies and identifies several underutilised jobs-growth levers in India: manufacturing, goods exports, manufacturing-oriented foreign direct investment and innovation. All of these remain underdeveloped, yet together they offer a pathway to more labour-absorbing, durable growth. Leveraging them effectively would be central to achieving India’s ‘Viksit Bharat 2047’ ambition of attaining high-income status. The scale of India’s challenge to employ eight to ten million labour-market entrants per year implies that job creation must become an explicit policy priority. This calls for greater trade openness, particularly with Asia and Europe, to integrate India into Asia-centric global supply chains as an alternative to China. Labour market reform is equally critical, making the effective implementation of the new labour codes essential. Strengthening innovation ecosystems and realigning education and skills policies to support industrialisation are also key. Without these structural shifts, India’s current pattern of jobless growth risks transforming its demographic dividend into a long-term liability.
  • 详情 The Effects of CEOs' Awards on Corporate Innovation: The Role of Investor Attraction and Talent Attraction
    This paper examines the relationship between award-winning CEOs and the levels of innovation investment in Chinese-listed companies. The findings indicate that CEOs who have received awards are more likely to foster increased corporate innovation. Additionally, these award-winning CEOs are associated with enhanced long-term operating performance for their firms and reinforce the link between current R&D investments and future operational success. Ultimately, our results suggest that CEO awards can enhance corporate innovation through two primary channels: first, by attracting investors, thereby alleviating financing constraints, and second, by promoting greater engagement from academics and overseas talent in innovation initiatives.
  • 详情 Does the industrial internet enhance firm innovation? Evidence from China’s pilot reform
    This study examines whether China’s Industrial Internet pilot policy (2017–2023) enhances firm innovation and explores the underlying mechanisms. Exploiting the staggered rollout of the policy across provinces as a quasi-natural experiment, we find that Industrial Internet adoption significantly increases firms’ innovation output. Mechanism tests show that the policy promotes knowledge accumulation, strengthens innovation persistence, and improves human capital allocation. We also document positive economic consequences, as treated firms earn higher returns to innovation. The effects are stronger for capital-intensive firms, those located in regions with advanced digital infrastructure, and firms undertaking joint or substantive innovation activities. Overall, the evidence highlights the Industrial Internet as an effective catalyst for firm innovation by deepening R&D capability and facilitating cross-industry knowledge flows.
  • 详情 Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Fluctuations
    In this paper, we design two chapters to discuss trade dynamics with heterogeneous fluctuations, contributing new insights to macroeconomic issues related to international trade. In the first chapter, we model general exchange rate fluctuations through stochastic processes and analyze the impact of heterogeneous price shocks on export competitiveness. We find that monetary policy and innovation both show positive effects on export trade, while monetary policy stabilizes exchange rate fluctuations to comprehensively boost provincial export competitiveness, innovation reduces its reliance on exchange rate mechanisms. The optimal policy according to exchange rate fluctuations aims to solve the wealth distribution of exporters, and it suggests that optimal policy should promote dynamic transitions in trade patterns rather than maintain existing comparative advantages in heterogeneous trade structures. In the second chapter, we model labor market fluctuations and the ability to utilize production factors through stochastic processes, and we analyze the impact of heterogeneous aggregate production shocks on general international trade. We find that labor market fluctuations only benefit international trade under the cooperation policy. Moreover, for both sanction and cooperation policy scenarios, positive shocks (i.e., shocks where average wage growth in the labor market exceeds unemployment) strengthen their impact on import trade while weakening their impact on export trade, and vice versa. Regarding the theories proposed in these two chapters, we prove them through empirical analyses using the provincial data of China.
  • 详情 Digital mergers and acquisitions, digital resource empowerment and corporate market value: Evidence from China
    Digital mergers and acquisitions (M&As) are increasingly becoming a critical strategic approach for enterprises to advance digital transformation. This study conceptualizes digital M&As as positive shock events for corporate digital transformation. Using a dataset of digital M&As by Chinese listed companies from 2005 to 2024, this study applies the propensity score matching combined with difference-in-differences (PSM-DID) method to empirically examine the impact of digital M&As on the market value of acquiring firms. The results show that digital M&As significantly enhance acquirers’ market value. Mechanism tests reveal that this effect is driven by digital resource empowerment, operating through increased digital factor inputs and strengthened digital innovation capabilities. Heterogeneity analysis further indicates that the market value enhancement effect of digital M&As is predominantly significant in non-digital firms, non-state-owned enterprises, and firms located in eastern China. This study expands the research scope of the micro-level effects of the digital economy and offers useful references for the Chinese government in refining its digital economy strategies, as well as practical guidance for firms in formulating their own digital investment decisions.
  • 详情 Can Artificial Intelligence Reduce Corporate Stock Price Crash Risk in China?
    This study examines the effect of artificial intelligence (AI) adoption on stock price crash risk using panel data from Chinese A-share listed firms from 2001 to 2022. We find that higher levels of AI application significantly reduce crash risk, primarily by enhancing information transparency, easing financial constraints, and promoting innovation. Notably, AI improves transparency within supply chains by reducing information asymmetry between upstream and downstream firms, thereby enhancing information flow and reducing market frictions. Among AI types, machine learning proves most effective in lowering crash risk due to its data-processing and forecasting capabilities, while natural language processing and computer vision show weaker effects. The impact of AI is particularly pronounced in non-government-regulated industries and high-tech firms. Moreover, its risk-mitigating effect becomes increasingly significant over time. These results are robust to instrumental variable estimation and staggered difference-in-differences (DID) designs. These findings highlight the strategic role of AI in risk management and offer practical implications for firms and policymakers aiming to enhance transparency, financial resilience, and long-term value creation.
  • 详情 Do ETFs Constrain Corporate Earnings Management? Evidence from China
    This paper examines the impact of Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) ownership on corporate earnings management. We find that ETF ownership is associated with a significant reduction in earnings management, and this result remains robust across a wide range of endogeneity tests and robustness checks. Further analyses reveal that ETFs exert a pronounced mitigating effect on sales manipulation, production manipulation, and expense manipulation. Mechanism tests indicate that ETFs curb earnings management by improving stock liquidity and strengthening external monitoring. We also find that the influence of ETFs is stronger in private firms, in firms with lower information transparency, and in firms with CEO duality, suggesting that ETFs serve as a more prominent external governance force when internal governance mechanisms are relatively weak. Overall, this study enriches the literature on the economic consequences of ETFs and provides new empirical evidence that financial innovation in emerging markets can help alleviate the information risk faced by investors.