This study examines whether sell-side analysts have the ability to disseminate information consistent with anomaly prescriptions in China. I adopt 192 trading-based and accounting-based anomaly signals to identify undervalued and overvalued stocks. Analysts tend to give more (less) favorable recommendations and earnings forecasts to undervalued (overvalued) stocks. On analyzing the information content, I find that analyst recommendations and earnings forecasts are consistent with accounting-based information rather than trading-based information. Analysts make recommendations and earnings forecasts consistent with anomalies, especially when firms experience relatively bad firm-level information. Additionally, undervalued (overvalued) stocks are associated with high (low) analyst coverage. The results indicate that analysts may contribute to mitigating anomaly mispricing and improving market efficiency in China.

We examine how sell-side equity analysts strategically disclose information of differing quality to the public versus the buy-side mutual fund managers to whom they are connected. We consider cases in which analysts recommend that the public buys a stock, but some fund managers sell it. We measure favor trading using mutual fund managers’ votes for analysts in a Chinese “star analyst” competition. We find that managers are more likely to vote for analysts who exhibit more “say-buy/whisper-sell” behavior with these managers. This suggests that analysts introduce noise in their public recommendations, making the more-precise information provided to their private clients more valuable. Analysts’ say-buy/whisper-sell behavior results in information asymmetry: the positive-recommendation stocks bought by the managers who vote for the analysts outperform the stocks sold by these managers after the recommendation dates. Our findings help explain several puzzles regarding analysts’ public recommendations.

利率工具作为央行货币政策的重要组成部分，也是实施货币政策的主要手段之一。中央银行根据货币政策实施的需要，适时地运用利率工具，对利率水平和结构进行调整，以此影响社会资金供求状况，调节微观经济主体的具体经济行为，进而实现既定的货币政策目标。 自2008年经济危机以来，中国人民银行多次利用存款准备金率和利率工具对国家宏观经济进行调节，特别是2010年以来为了应对由之前过度宽松货币政策导致的严重通胀形势，央行5次提高存贷款基准利率，12次提高存款准备金率至21.5%的历史高位。尽管如此，但是国内利率水平依然处在低位，实际利率持续为负。存准率过度提高导致货币供给大幅减少，利率水平维持低位使货币需求上升，这样扭曲的货币政策导致了我国宏观经济在各方面的失衡，并且遭到了来自各界的非议。究竟利率工具的宏观经济调控效果如何呢，为何央行不愿意使用价格型货币政策工具——利率进行调控呢？虽然目前存准率工具的使用次数要远多于利率工具，但是随着今后利率市场化改革的深入推进和我国金融体制的开放改革，今后利率调控工具将会成为央行调节宏观经济运行节奏的主要手段。因此，研究利率政策调控对宏观经济的影响将有助于我们明确利率调控的效果、认清宏观经济变化的原因，在利率市场化的背景下也能够为央行制定科学的货币政策提供决策依据。 本文是按照“回顾改革以来利率政策的调整历史→实际利率变动对主要宏观经济目标的实证检验→影响利率政策效果的原因分析→增强利率调控效果的政策建议”的基本思路，展开全文的分析讨论。在对改革开放三十年以来的利率政策历史回顾分析的基础上，采用定性和定量分析相结合的方法，对利率变动与经济增长率、通货膨胀率以及城镇登记失业率进行实证检验，得出不同阶段实际利率的变化对不同宏观经济目标的影响。在此基础上得出全文结论，实际利率与经济增长率的关系从正相关逐渐发展为负相关，与通胀率则是显著的负相关，而实际利率与城镇登记失业率则呈现很弱的相关性。然后具体分析影响我国利率政策调控宏观经济效果的原因，主要包括利率管制政策、金融市场发展建设及经济主体行为三个方面。最后在前文讨论的基础上提出增强利率调控效果的政策建议，主要包括放松利率管制、继续推进利率市场化改革、完善货币市场发展建设、加强央行宏观调控能力等方面。 Interest rate policy is an important component of monetary policy，also the one main instruments of monetary policy implementation．According to the People’s Bank of China monetary policy needs in a timely manner，use of interest rate tools，include the level of interest rates and interest rate structure in order to affect the supply and demand of funds，micro-economic regulation of the main acts，and to achieve monetary policy objectives． After 2008 world economic crisis, the interest rate and deposit-reserve ratio has been changed more times to adjust China’s macroeconomic. Especially since 2010 to cope with the serious inflation caused by the prior overly lax monetary policy, the central bank raised the benchmark deposit and lending interest rates 5 times and 12 times to raise the deposit reserve ratio to 21.5% highs. In spite of this, but the domestic interest rate level is still low, the real interest rate is negative for longtime. Money supply is greatly reduced by the excessive increase of deposit reserve ratio, and monetary demand rises because the level of interest rates remains low. Such distortion of the monetary policy in our country makes our macro economy imbalance in all aspects, and has received criticism from all walks of life. How about the interest rate tool of macroeconomic regulation and control effect, why the central bank is not willing to use price monetary policy tools -- interest rate regulation? Although the deposit-reserve ratio has been changed more than the interest rate, but with the market-oriented reform of interest rate and financial system, interest rate regulation will be the main method of macroeconomic adjusting control. So studying on macroeconomic effects of real interest rate would help us to be more clearly knowing the results of the interest rate policy and understanding the reasons for changes in the economy. Furthermore，in our country, the interest rate is not fully market-oriented, the study is also helpful for authorities to make the correct monetary and interest rate policy. “Review the history of interest rate policy adjustment from Reform and Opening up→the empirical test of real interest rate on the main macroeconomic goals→the reasons analysis which have influence on the effects of interest rate policy→the policy recommendations which make interest rate regulation more effective" This is the main train of thought of this paper, around which expand the analysis and discussion. Based on the review of the history of interest rate policy after Reform and Opening-up from 1980, used the combination of qualitative and quantitative analysis, through analyzed the effects of real interest rates which impacted on the three macroeconomic objectives, include the GDP growth rate、the inflation rate and the urban registered unemployment rate, we get the result that in different stages, the interest rate policy have different impacts on economic objectives. At the last, we get the whole conclusion and analyzed the reasons which caused interest rate policy to be ineffective on the macro economy. Finally, according to China’s financial market, this paper gave some reform suggestions which can make interest rate policy to be more effective on macro economic adjusting control.

Using a unique database over local Chinese securities firm’s earnings forecasts and stock recommendations, it is shown that the average forecast error has decreased over time reflecting the maturing of the Chinese securities firms. Affiliated securities firms, defined as securities firms acting as investment banker/underwriter services, provide better earnings forecasts than un‐affiliated firms which is contrary to findings from other countries. Also, forecast errors produced by local securities firms and star analysts are smaller. Finally single authored reports have larger forecasts errors than reports with several authors. In general financial markets react to stock recommendations from securities firms, but markets du not react differently to stock recommendations from affiliated and un‐affiliated and local and non‐local firms despite their superior earnings forecasts. As for affiliated firms, local securities firms provide better forecasts but these are not recognized by the financial markets in their reactions to stock recommendations. On the other hand financial markets react stronger to recommendations from highly ranked securities firms compared to lower ranked firms even though there is no difference in their ability to forecast earnings. Finally financial markets react stronger to stock recommendations by star analysts.

This paper is the first attempt in the literature to study the relationship between corporate governance and corporate growth. By developing an econometric model, this paper empirically studied the relationship between corporate governance and growth capability of China’s listed companies based on the panel data of 510 listed companies in Chinese manufacturing industry from the year 2001 to 2007. Main findings and contributions of this paper are as follows: ownership concentration is significantly negatively associated with growth capability; there is a significant negative relationship between equity restriction ratio and growth capability; growth capability of non-state-holding company is stronger than that of state-holding company, but this finding has no statistical significance; the stronger are debt solvency and debt financing ability, the stronger is growth capability; scale of board of directors and proportion of independent directors are significantly negatively associated with growth capability; combination of chairman of board of directors and CEO is beneficial for enhancing growth capability; management annual salary is significantly positively associated with growth capability; proportion of management shareholding has a negative relationship with growth capability, but this has no statistical significance; competition of market for corporate control and perfection degree of law basis and interest protection of medium-small investors are positively associated with growth capability, but these findings have no statistical significance; there is a significant positive relationship between product market competition and growth capability. Based on the above conclusions, this paper put forward some relevant policy recommendations from perspective of corporate governance for enhancing growth capability of Chinese listed companies.

Abstract Universal corporate banks are defined as financial institutions that may offer the entire range of financial services, and own equity in financial and non-financial firms. The emergence of universal corporate banks is one of the responses of banks to the environmental changes in global financial markets. An idealized model of corporate bank is developed to describe the nature of corporate bank. The corporate banking policies include internationalization of financial services and information net-work, expansion and integration of corporate banking functions, creating close corporate clients relationship, acquiring knowledge and information advantage in corporate and financial markets, performance of corporate control and corporate governance to influence corporate management. Transaction cost and other theories are used to explain the universal corporate bank, especially the rationale for expansion and r-organization, for developing close corporate relationship, for acquiring information and knowledge of corporate clients, and the influence concerning corporate governance. In this study, the evolution of regulation, present situation of banking system, future development of corporate banking in some countries are investigated. It is found that free selection of organizational structure and financial activities of financial institutions is a general tendency in these countries. The problems such as conflicts of interest, culture conflict encountered when implementing corporate banking policies are discussed in this study. Different organization designs, management models, external regulations, and corporate culture are introduced as solutions. The development of corporate bank has great implications for financial reform in China. The pre-requisitions and barriers of developing universal corporate in China are discussed. A case study of China Construction Bank is utilized to illustrate the current situation and further development of banks in China. It is argued that a gradually financial liberalization with correct order should be accomplished. Some recommendations are produced for further reform of financial market in China including diversification of bank’s ownership, permission of foreign banks enter Chinese financial market, liberalizing interest rate, and establishing a fully floated foreign exchange market.