• 详情 The Role of Governmental Venture Capital in Value Creation for Investee Firms: Evidence from Chinese Government Guidance Funds
    We study the role of Chinese government guidance funds (GGFs) in value creation for investee firms. Using a sample of 2,855 firms that went public during the period of 2010-2021, we show that GGF-backed IPO firms had higher initial returns than non-VC-backed IPO firms and nonGGF VC-backed IPO firms. After decomposing the initial return into IPO underpricing and market overvaluation, we find that GGF-backed firms enjoyed higher overvaluation and lower underpricing than other firms. Consistent with investor sentiment and information asymmetry hypothesis, our results indicate that public investors value the benefits of political resources more than the costs of government interference associated with GGF sponsoring. However, GGF-backed firms did not outperform other-VC-backed firms when post-IPO long-term stock, operating and innovation performance is assessed. The divergence in the effects of GGFs observed in the financial and product markets reveals the complexity in evaluating the role of GGFs in value creation.
  • 详情 The Impact of Cloud Computing and AI on Industry Dynamics and Competition
    We examine the rise of cloud computing and AI in China and its impact on industry dynamics. We find that industries that depend more on cloud infrastructure experience a higher increase in firm entry and exit after cloud computing expands in China. The positive relation with firm exit is driven by the increased exit through business failure and adjustments. We also compare cloud computing to artificial intelligence (AI) and show a differential effect of these technologies on exit. For AI, larger incumbents are less likely to exit. M&A is also more likely for cloud computing but not for AI. Concentration decreases post-cloud computing expansion but increases post-AI. These findings point to changes in competition from new technologies but with differential effects based on which types of firms are likely to adopt new technologies.
  • 详情 The Communicative Value of Key Audit Matters in M&As: The Effect of Performance Commitments
    In contrast to previous literature, our study not only examines the communicative value of Key Audit Matters (KAMs) through the capital market reaction to KAMs but also analyses the content and reporting format of KAMs, which vary based on the intrinsic risk of business activity. Using a sample of Chinese firms from 2017 to 2020, we find that more M&A-related KAMs are reported and they are disclosed through less boilerplate language when M&As are accompanied with the Performance Commitment contracts (PCs), an indicator as high possibility of overpayment during M&As thus inducing the high risk of the goodwill impairment and high litigation risk. Additionally, we find that the negative impact of PCs on boilerplate language is amplified when the benchmark in PCs is precisely achieved or when the firm has been sued in recent years. In other words, the disclosure of M&A-related KAMs is more tailored to the client firm when auditors observe a high risk for accountability. Consequently, capital market participants, as well as other recipients of auditing reports, such as regulators and analysts, perceive non-boilerplate M&A-related KAMs as informative for their decision-making process.
  • 详情 Nonlocal CEOS and Corporate Financial Fraud: Evidence from Chinese Listed Firms
    This study examines whether firms’ financial fraudulent behavior varies when local firms are led by nonlocal CEOs. Building on the social identity theory, we argue that nonlocal CEOs, due to their different location-based social identities, are perceived as outgroup leaders and face intergroup bias from stakeholders within local firms. Therefore, nonlocal CEOs are more likely to conform to laws and regulations and reduce corporate financial fraud to enhance their legitimacy in leading local firms. Using panel data on Chinese listed firms from 2007 to 2020, we find a significantly negative correlation between nonlocal CEOs and the likelihood of corporate financial fraud. Furthermore, our moderating analysis indicate that the negative effect of nonlocal CEOs on corporate financial fraud is stronger (a) for CEOs who have neverwon awards, (b) in firms with poor financial performance and (c) in regions with tight cultures. Additional mechanism tests indicate that nonlocal CEOs’ outgroup identity is more prominent in regions with low regional dialect diversity and local private-owned enterprises. Overall, these findings suggest that choosing a nonlocal CEO warrants attention from the firm’s top management teams and stakeholders.
  • 详情 Green Financial Policies and Corporate ESG Reporting ‘Greenwashing’: Empirical Evidence from Chinese Listed Companies
    In recent years, the phenomenon of ‘greenwashing’ of corporate environmental, social and governance (ESG) reports has been on the rise, seriously interfering with normal capital investment behaviour. This paper explores the relationship between investor concerns and the ‘greenwashing’ of corporate ESG reports, using Chinese A-share listed companies from 2014 to 2021 as a sample. The results show that green finance policies significantly contribute to the ‘greenwashing’ of ESG reports of heavily polluting companies. Under the pressure of green finance policies, heavily polluting companies have more incentives to ‘greenwash’ their ESG reports to relieve financing pressure. This paper’s findings suggest that green finance policies that promote enterprises’ green transformation may negatively induce enterprises to make false ESG disclosures.
  • 详情 Predicting Financial Distress as Repeated Events? Evidence from China
    Whilst there is increasing research attention on predicting financial distress, the existing literature is subject to two specific limitations. The first is that a firm can experience a financial distress event (e.g., loan default, bankruptcy) more than once, yet most studies that model corporate financial distress prediction treat financial distress as occurring only once. This approach leads to an inefficient use of data with all subsequent events being ignored and subsequently a decrease in statistical power. Second, to account for the lack of independence between observations of repeated event data, the extant research utilising hazard analysis either has a separate analysis for successive distressed events or relies upon robust standard errors. In addition to a much smaller sample, a separate analysis yields the models that can be used to predict the survival of a distressed firm rather than the survival of a firm generally. The method of robust standard errors, while innocuous to one-time event data, ignores the possible downward bias in coefficient estimates for repeated event data. To address these two limitations, we treat financial distress as repeated events and apply more advanced methods (generalised estimating equations, random effects, fixed effects, and a hybrid approach) to account for the lack of independence between observations in discrete time hazard analysis. These different approaches are applied to a sample of listed companies in China over the 2007‒2021 period. We find that variables that are not statistically significant in models based on one-time events data become statistically significant in the models based on repeated events data, and that coefficient estimates are larger in their magnitude with more advanced methods than with the method of robust standard errors. We also find that among the advanced methods, a hybrid approach achieves substantially better out-of-sample prediction, particularly over a long-term horizon than other approaches. Our results remain robust in tests of robustness.
  • 详情 Impact of Information Disclosure Ratings on Investment Efficiency: Evidence from China
    This study examines the impact of Shenzhen Stock Exchange’s (SZSE) information disclosure ratings on investment efficiency in China. Based on a sample of Chinese A-share listed companies on the SZSE from 2001 to 2018, we discover that superior information disclosure ratings improve investment efficiency after controlling for various firm- and industry-level variables. Our findings remain valid after various robustness tests and using instrumental variables to address the endogeneity problem. Specifically, we find that improving information disclosure ratings help firms attract more investor attention, which leads to higher investment efficiency. In addition, this information disclosure effect is more pronounced for underinvestment firms and firms on the main board than for smaller firms on SEM (small- and medium-sized enterprise) and GEM (growth enterprise market) boards. Our evidence supports the idea that regulatory activities for information disclosure ratings of companies listed on China’s stock exchanges improve investment efficiency.
  • 详情 Can Investor Sentiment Predict Value Premium in China?
    We explore the value premium in the Chinese stock market and how to exploit it using a new investor sentiment index. We extensively discuss the performance of BM, CFP, EP and SP factors in China. Consistent with the experience of other countries, BM generates more of a value premium in small cap performance, while EP generates more of a value premium in large cap stocks in the Chinese stock market. First, we construct a novel value factor based on BM, EP and SP. We obtain the loading weights of each value indicator in each market value by partial least squares. The novel value factor outperformed all other value factors. Second, we explore the relationship between value premium and investor sentiment. Different from evidence from most developed countries, the value stocks perform better than growth stocks in the bull market in China. Our evidence suggests investing in value stocks can get more profit when market sentiment is low.
  • 详情 Does Insider Trading Density Convey Information to Predict Future Stock Returns? Evidence from China
    We analyze the relationship between insider trading density and the future stock returns in Chinese listed companies. We introduce a new aspect of the trading pattern, insider trading density, to investigate the information advantage held by insiders. Insiders who trade at a low density during their tenure are less likely to be expected to trade than high trading density insiders. The expectedness of trading patterns reflects insiders’ trading incentives and conveys valuable information to predict future stock prices. Controlling for company, deal, and insider-specific characteristics, we find that low trading density insiders earn higher excess returns than high trading density insiders in a portfolio mimicking long strong purchases and short strong sales. In addition, we show that the insider’s position is a source of information advantage: prominent officers such as CEOs and CFOs are more likely to be low trading density insiders, while non-executive directors and supervisors are more likely to be high trading density insiders.