互联网支付是基于互联网信息技术的一种金融创新，是互联网金融金融业务的核心和发展的起点。作为一种新的支付模式，互联网支付不仅对传统互联网金融体系带来了冲击，还对人们的生活和习惯带来改变。研究影响农民选择互联网支付的影响因素，对推进农村互联网金融健康发展和促进农村消费具有重要现实意义。本文拟采用 Heckman二阶段分析法对影响农村居民选择互联网支付的因素展开实证研究，得出以下三点结论：一是互联网支付在未来农村有很大发展空间。由于消费者年龄对于农村居民是否使用在线支付这一互联网金融形式具有反向影响，因此，随着年轻一代的农村居民不断成长，使用互联网金融的人会越来越多；二是教育水平影响农民居民对互联网支付的选择。受教育水平越高，农民选择互联网支付的可能性就越大；三是农村居民是否选择互联网支付还受快递终端网络的影响。农村居民收发快递越方便，越愿意选择互联网支付。（此段由CFRN编辑）

近年来互联网理财发展迅猛，众多社会资本争相涌入，行业参与者数量也出现爆炸性增长， 互联网理财的未 来走向越来越受到关注。为了论证互联网理财是否会实现长远发展这一极具意义的问题， 本文尝试构建理财系统及其子系统的系统动力学模型， 对互联网理财在资金规模与市场份额方面的发展趋势进行研究。实证结果表明， 互联网理财将使理财市场的格局发生变动，并成为金融体系中的重要组成部分； 理财规模不断扩大，未来十年或相当长的一段时间内增速可能还会加快； 利用系统仿真完成行业趋势研究有一定的科学性，但仍有较大的改进空间。

In view of the growing importance of P2P lending in China, we investigate the role of the level of education of a borrower on the demand for funding. We collect and analyze data for more than 10,000 transactions obtained from Renrendai.com, a popular P2P company operating in China. Our analysis indicates that individuals with higher levels of education demand smaller loans for any given interest rate and lower interest rates for any given loan amount, controlling for a variety of factors. This finding applies to individuals demanding both personal and business loans. The same result holds, moreover, when an individual’s credit information is available to a P2P company online. Several robustness tests confirm our basic empirical findings.

本文使用我国 P2P 平台人人贷网站的数据，研究注意力对 P2P 投资者投资决策的影响。研究发现， 当可选借款标的数量增加，使得投资者的注意力下降时，名义利率对投资决策影响增加，名义利率以外的信息对投资决策的影响降低。这是因为当注意力下降时，投资者更关注名义利率，同时忽略更多名义利率以外的信息。这使得投资者忽略更多关于借款人风险的信息，出现在预期收益率相同时，偏好高风险借款标的行为偏差，增加投资者和借款人之间的信息不对称。本文立足 P2P 市场这一适合研究投资者注意力对投资决策影响的场景，强调了注意力在 P2P 投资决策中的重要地位，进一步探讨了注意力在投资决策中的作用。

In this paper we use the data from “paipaidai”, an online peer-to-peer lending platform in China, to testify whether mood affects the efficiency of credit approval by individual. Refering to the studies in Psychology and Financial Economics, we employ season, temperature and weather as mood proxies, and crotrol the variables related to the quality of loan to study the credit approval behavior under different mood condition. The results suggest that the efficiency of credit approval is significantly correlated with mood—positive mood would improve the efficiency, while negative mood would reduce it. Specifically, loan examined under better mood condition (e.g. spring, comfortable temperature, and sunny days) has significantly higher probability of approval, but lower probability to default if approved; and that examined under lower mood condition shows lower probability of approval and higher probability to default if approved. This effect of mood is even stronger when a loan application to judge is more complex, atypical, or unusual. Moreover, investor sentiment, denoted by closed-end fund premiums, has the same effect on credit approval as well.

基于供应链应收账款融资角度对中国上市公司商业信用情况进行调查。 采取定量调查方法分析国内应收账款整体规模、应收账款行业和企业分布、 金融危机前后应收账款变化等，为供应链应收账款融资模式创新提供数据支持。 研究发现占用商业信用的主要是上市公司中的大型企业。上市公司中的中小微企业实际是提供商业信用，其应收账款周转期不断增加，应收账款占总资产的比重不断提高。 金融危机后工业由净占用商业信用转变为净提供商业信用。工业应收账款规模大，应收账款占总资产比重高，应收账款周转期长，大量营运资金被占用。供应链应收账款融资模式创新对中小制造业营运资金回笼有重要意义。

长期以来，货币政策与通货膨胀的相互关系一直是主流经济学关注的核心问题。 但因不同收入群体的消费结构迥异，不同商品的价格粘性也存在显著差异，传统单一 的居民消费价格指数(Consumer Price Index)无法客观反映各收入群体所感知的真实 物价水平。本文结合中国家庭微观调查数据与宏观加总数据，创新性地构建了分布式 居民消费价格指数(Distributional CPI)。基于该指数，本文提出了货币政策通过消费 价格端影响不平等的新机制，并对其进行了量化研究。同时，本文还采用了新近发展 的我国货币政策工具变量序列来解决可能存在的内生性问题。实证结果表明，不同收 入群体的消费者价格指数存在显著差异，且低收入群体的价格指数具有更大的波动性。 进一步分析表明，与传统研究所揭示出的加总效应不同，由于消费结构的差异，货币 政策对不同收入群体的生活成本造成了异质性影响。特别地，宽松的货币政策会显著 增加低收入群体的生活成本，而高收入群体受到的影响较弱。本文的政策启示是货币 政策在稳增长、保就业之外，还在消费价格端表现出明显的社会福利分配效应。此外， 本文构建的分布式消费者价格指数也是 Piketty et al.(2018)强调的政府构建并发布分 布式国家账户(Distributional National Account)在消费价格端的一个重要延伸。

This paper studies the trading behavior of investors facing a large number of firm-initiated stock trading suspension events during the Chinese stock market crisis in July of 2015. Using account-level trading data from the Shanghai Stock Exchange, we find that investors with a higher fraction of holding value in suspension sell less (or purchase more) of non-suspended stocks. Consequently, non-suspended stocks whose shareholders having high average account- level suspension fraction experience a relative price appreciation, which subsequently reverses. These evidences indicate that trading suspension can calm down investors and therefore helps to stabilize the volatile market in crisis time.

We study the effect of mutual fund allocation on China’s IPO market under the new registration system. The introduction of mutual fund bids significantly increases IPO offer price, resulting in a low initial short-term return and suppressed IPO underpricing. Those newly listed stocks witness lower volatility in the following weeks due to preferential allocation to the mutual fund at the primary market. Further analysis suggests that large investors tend to buy during the first week after IPO and their net purchase strengthens IPO after-market volatility. This new evidence suggests that mutual fund allocation plays a critical role in IPO price discovery and decreases investor lottery trading.

We examine global integration in the market for asset management, as indicated by the correlation of mutual fund flows across domiciles. We observe no leading role for the US relative to flows in other domiciles. We do observe a strong global factor in MF flows, and global integration is linked to a market’s business environment, safety from conflict, and political stability. In regional analysis, Europe represents an integrated market for asset management, led by Luxembourg, where asset managers face common flow risks across domiciles. The Asia-Pacific region displays no coherent patterns of correlations across domiciles.