• 详情 投资者态度影响了公司行为吗? 基于上市公司股利政策的考察
    以股利政策为例,本文探讨上市公司的行为是否受到了投资者态度的影响。具体的,我们分析上市公司的股利政策(用分红倾向,分红水平来度量)是否与市场对股利的态度(用股利溢价(dividend premium)来度量)相一致。结果显示,在股权分置改革之前,上市公司的分红倾向、分红水平与股利溢价负相关;而当这一改革完成之后,分红倾向、分红水平与股利溢价显著正相关。本文的研究不仅从新的视角展示了公司行为如何受到外部环境的影响,也显示了在后股改时代规范上市公司短期行为的必要性。
  • 详情 同行比较、经理人权力与薪酬变动——对中国国有上市公司的分析
    不同于传统的“业绩-薪酬”机制,本文从参与约束的角度提出了一种新的经理人薪酬决定机制。采用国有上市公司作为样本,我们发现:(1)如果经理人在上一年度获得的薪酬低于(高于)同行公司的中位值,那么其在本年度的薪酬将显著提高(降低);(2)在自利的经理人的干预下,这种同行比较机制使得薪酬易于上调而难以下调,从而表现出不对称性。本文的结论表明了限制经理人权力在完善公司治理中的意义。
  • 详情 Political Connections as an Endorsement Device
    We investigate how a firm’s political connections may affect its corporate policies. We propose and test the hypothesis that firms’ political connections enhance investors’ endorsement of managerial decisions, which elevates firm investment and encourages equity issuance and less cash payout. Using a sample of non-state owned Chinese firms, we find strong evidence in support of this hypothesis. Specifically, politically connected firms are less likely to pay dividends and pay less if they pay. The dividend announcement returns are significantly lower in connected firms than in otherwise similar but unconnected firms. Investors prefer firm investments to cash payouts by politically connected firms with high growth opportunities, and tend to value these firms’ investment decisions significantly higher. Finally, connected firms are also more able to tap public equity market for external funds. Our evidence is more consistent with political connections being an investor endorsement device rather than the expropriation device as suggested in the prior literature.
  • 详情 Corporate governance and bidder returns: Evidence from China’s domestic mergers and acquisitions
    This study examines how corporate governance influences short-term and long-term bidder returns from China’s domestic mergers and acquisitions during 2001-2010. We examine a range of corporate governance measures covering ownership structure, board structure, insider ownership and managerial incentives while controlling for bidder and deal characteristics. Our initial results from events analyses show that market responses differ in ways which suggest a difference in how the market’s assessment of share price from the perspectives of short run and long run. Bidders obtain significant positive abnormal returns over the five-day event period but suffer significant wealth losses for two years following the deal completion. Our further analyses on factors driving the price difference show that executive ownership (positive) and state ownership (negative) exert opposite effects on the announcement period returns. The returns further differ by way of payments with positive (negative) effects from stock (cash) financing. Our long-term regression analyses show that the positive impact of executive ownership remains. Independent directors record a negative effect on abnormal returns. Nevertheless, board independence measured by the composite corporate governance index exerts a significant, positive effect on shareholder wealth. Our study highlights the need for the state to accelerate the share structure reform and formulate policies that encourage executive ownership and sound corporate governance.
  • 详情 A股收益率预测与行业轮动模型的实证研究
    本文研究了用8个模型预测A股23个行业和市场收益率的问题,针对文献中常用的平方预测误差损失函数和R_OS^2统计量的不足构建了损失函数g(r_(t+1),r ?_(t+1) )和R_OS^ORDER统计量。R_OS^2统计量显示收益率不可预测而R_OS^ORDER统计量显示收益率可预测,我们进而研究了基于预测的行业轮动策略,结果支持使用损失函数g(r_(t+1),r ?_(t+1) )和R_OS^ORDER统计量评估预测。本文给出了不同预测模型的相对表现。
  • 详情 基于社会心理因素视角的高管薪酬研究综述
    与管理层权力理论不同,社会影响理论强调存在着CEO和董事会的社会心理因素对高管薪酬的影响。本文将从社会心理因素视角出发分析社会影响机制对高管薪酬的作用,首先对社会心理因素的内涵加以分析,然后通过文献梳理总结董事会服务于高管利益的动因及过程,并对社会心理因素和社会影响机制如何影响高管薪酬水平加以阐释,最后提出研究展望。
  • 详情 Should We Fear an Adverse Collateral Effect on Investment in China?
    Working with unique data on land values in 35 major Chinese markets and a panel of firms outside the real estate industry, we estimate standard investment equations that yield no evidence of a collateral channel effect. This is markedly different from previous work on the United States and Japan which finds economically large impacts. One reason for this appears to be that some of the most dominant firms in China are state-owned enterprises (SOEs) which are unconstrained in the sense that they do not need to rely on rising underlying property collateral values to obtain all the financing necessary to carry out their desired investment programs. However, we also find no collateral channel effect for non-SOEs when we perform our analysis on disaggregated sets of firms. Norms and regulation in the Chinese capital markets and banking sector can account for why there is no collateral channel effect operating among these firms. We caution that our results do not mean that there will be no negative fallout from a potential real estate bust on the Chinese economy. There are good reasons to believe there would be, just not through a collateral channel effect.
  • 详情 国有股权与公司IPO 中的审计师选择行为及动机
    审计师选择是审计研究的核心问题。本文首次研究了国有股东在中国A 股IPO 市场审计师选择行为及其具体动机。我们发现,国有股东不太愿意选择高质量的审计师,其 原因既不是因为高质量的审计师有更强的能力限制国有股东或管理者的代理问题,又不是因 为国有股东可以代替高质量的审计师在降低IPO 融资成本过程中的作用,也不是因为国有 股东可以替代高质量审计师的保险作用,而是因为国有股东会损害高质量审计师声誉机制的 发挥,进而损害了其在降低IPO 融资成本过程中的作用。本文对于丰富和深化我们关于中 国A 股市场审计师选择行为和审计师声誉机制作用发挥的认识,具有非常重要的作用。
  • 详情 The value of political connections in Chinese IPO market
    This paper examines the value of political connections in the Chinese IPO market. We find a positive relationship between CEO/chairman’s political connections and the probability of IPO approval of entrepreneurial firms. We further identify that minority shareholders value those connections and give a market premium to the connected firms after the firms go public. We provide evidence that connected independent directors and PE/VC investors bring important networks which facilitate firms’ access to the IPO market, albeit the former complements and the latter substitutes the CEO/chairman’s connections. We argue that in emerging markets where government intervention is still prevalent, the value of political connections does exist and entrepreneurial firms usually build political connections through different ways in order to facilitate their access the IPO market and obtain a higher market premium.
  • 详情 Do private equity investors conspire with ultimate owners in the IPO process?
    This paper examines the interactive effect of private equity (PE) and excess control rights on the process of firms’ going public. We find that firms with high excess control rights have more earnings management before IPO, and they are more likely to seek PE investors especially when the earnings management is high. We further show that the involvement of PE investors increases the probability of the firms’ IPO application being approved by the regulators in firms with high excess control rights. However, PE backed firms with high excess control rights are found to have a higher IPO fee, lower initial returns and lower long term post-IPO performance. We argue that in emerging markets where the protection of minority shareholders is weak and the economy is dominated by relationship and networks, ultimate owners have a strong incentive to have PE investors help them access the IPO market at the expense of minority shareholders’ interests, especially when they have excess control rights. In fact, instead of playing a monitory role, PE investors actually conspire with the ultimate owners to exploit minority shareholders’ interests and both PE investors and controlling shareholders become big winners, while minority shareholders are the only losers in the IPO process.