• 详情 Why Do Firms Purchase Directors’ and Officers’ Liability Insurance? – Perspective from Economic Policy Uncertainty
    Purpose – This study aims to investigate whether firms purchase directors’ and officers’ liability (D&O) insurance when the country-level economic policy uncertainty (EPU) is high. Design/methodology/approach – This study uses D&O insurance data from Chinese listed firms between 2003 and 2019 to conduct regression analyses to examine the association between D&O insurance and EPU. Findings – The results show that government EPU, despite being an exogenous factor, increases the likelihood of firms’ purchasing D&O insurance, and this effect is more pronounced when firms are exposed to great share price crash risk and high litigation risk, suggesting that firms intend to purchase D&O insurance possibly due to the accentuated stock price crash risk and litigation risk associated with EPU. In addition, the results indicate that the effect of EPU on the D&O insurance purchase decision is moderated by the provincial capital market development and internal control quality. Practical implications – The study highlights the role of uncertain economic policies in shareholder approval of D&O insurance purchases. Originality/value – The study enriches the literature on the determinants of D&O insurance purchases by documenting novel evidence that country-level EPU is a key institutional factor shaping firms’ decisions to purchase D&O insurance.
  • 详情 Market Power and Loyalty Redeemable Token Design
    Software and accounting advances have led to a rapid expansion in and proliferation of loyalty tokens, typically bundled as part of product price. Some tokens, such as in the airline industry, already account for tens of billions of dollars and are a major contributor to revenues. An open question is whether, as technology evolves, firms will have a strong incentive to make loyalty tokens tradable, raising regulation issues, including with monetary and banking authorities. This paper argues that for the vast majority of tokens, issuing firms have a strong incentive to make them non-tradable. The core incentive for token issuance here is that an issuer can earn a higher rate of return on the ``float'' (tokens issued but not yet used) than its retail customers can, much like a bank. Our main finding is that an issuer earns higher revenue by making tokens non-tradable even though the consumer would be willing to pay a higher price for tradable tokens. We further show that an issuer with stronger market power tends to allow more frequent token redemption, and its revenue is more token-dependent. We test the model's predictions with data on airline mileage and hotel reward programs and document consistent empirical results that align with our theory.
  • 详情 High Frequency Online Inflation and Term Structure of Interest Rates: Evidence from China
    In the digital era, the information value of online prices, characterized by weak price stickiness and high sensitivity to economic shocks, deserves more attention. This paper integrates the high-frequency online inflation rate into the dynamic Nelson-Siegel (DNS) model to explore its relationship with the term structure of interest rates. The empirical results show that the weekly online inflation can significantly predict the yield curve, particularly the slope factor, while the monthly official inflation is predicted by yield curve factors. The mechanism analyses indicate that, due to low price stickiness, online inflation is more responsive to short-term economic conditions and better reflects money market liquidity, thereby having predictive power for the yield curve. Specifically, online inflation for non-durable goods and on weekdays shows stronger predictive power for the slope factor. The heterogeneity in price stickiness across these categories explains the varying impacts on the yield curve.
  • 详情 货币非中性:货币供给冲击与艺术品杰作效应
    本文借助于2009年货币供给冲击,使用2005-2013年中国书画的独特艺术品拍卖数据库,为货币非中性理论提供了一个艺术品市场的证据。研究发现:第一,在货币供给冲击后,杰作拍卖成交价格增长率比非杰作高出约13.80个百分点。第二,进行一系列稳健性检验后,结果依然成立。第三,异质性分析表明,著录次数越多、名人珍藏和著名艺术家创作的杰作价格增长幅度更大。本文的研究结果验证了哈耶克关于“货币冲击引致相对价格变动”的“货币非中性”理论,也丰富了对于艺术品市场杰作效应成因的理解。
  • 详情 双碳目标下能源与产业双重结构转型
    本文构建并校准了一个包含内生能源与产业结构的多部门动态一般均衡模型,研究了中国能源与产业结构的升级过程以及其与碳排放之间的关系。研究发现,能源生产技术的进步通过改变各产业的生产成本推动了产业结构转型,而产业结构转型从能源需求侧减少了高排放化石能源的使用。结果显示,2009~2020 年宏观产业结构转型推动了能源结构的转变并显著降低了碳排放量,其累计减少的碳排放量相当于 2020 年中国年排放量的 10%。同时,本文求解了“双碳”目标下最大化居民福利的碳税安排,发现内生税率随经济增长而快速上升,具有显著的发展阶段依赖性。在发展阶段早期实行较低的碳税税率可以维持更高的资本回报率,有利于资本积累、产业升级和经济增长。
  • 详情 Demystifying China's Hostile Takeover Scene: Paradoxically Limited Role of Corporate Governance
    When examining corporate governance in China, it is crucial to recognize the unique socioeconomicstructures and legal systems at play. The mechanisms of corporate governance theorized in the West might not necessarily have the same impact in China. In particular, given China’s distinct feature of the domestic economy and its socio-political structure, the results of introducing a hostile takeover system might not align with common anticipations that scholars and policymakers in China and elsewhere broadly share. In greater detail, this paper highlights the significant market imperfections in the Chinese economy, stemming from information asymmetry, imperfect product markets, and capital-market inefficiency. These market imperfections suggest that an active hostile takeover regime might not function effectively in China, as its disciplinary mechanism operates successfully in other advanced countries. Additionally, this paper underscores that due to China’s distinctive features—including its state-owned corporate landscape, the dominance of controlling shareholders in private corporations’ ownership structures, and its unique brand of socialism—the introduction of an active takeover regime could produce unintended consequences in the Chinese economy. Overall, challenging the prevailing perspective, I posit that within the Chinese hostile takeover framework, corporate governance is not as influential as one might assume.
  • 详情 Spatiotemporal Correlation in Stock Liquidity Through Corporate Networks from Information Disclosure Texts
    The healthy operation of the stock market relies on sound liquidity. We utilize the semantic information from disclosure texts of listed companies on the China Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market) to construct a daily corporate network. Through empirical tests and performance analyses of machine learning models, we elucidate the relationship between the similarity of company disclosure text contents and the temporal and spatial correlations of stock liquidity. Our liquidity indicators encompass trading costs, market depth, trading speed, and price impact, recognized across four dimensions. Furthermore, we reveal that the information loss caused by employing Minimum Spanning Tree (MST) topology significantly affects the explanatory power of network topology indicators for stock liquidity, with a more pronounced impact observed at the document level. Subsequently, by establishing a neural network model to predict next-day liquidity indicators, we demonstrate the temporal relationship of stock liquidity. We model a liquidity predicting task and train a daily liquidity prediction model incorporating Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) modules to solve it. Compared to models with the same parameter structure containing only fully connected layers, the GCN prediction model, which leverages company network structure information, exhibits stronger performance and faster convergence. We provide new insights for research on company disclosure and capital market liquidity.
  • 详情 Responsible or ‘Controlled’ Digitalisation? ESG Performance and Corruption in China
    This paper explores the ethical dimensions of firm-level digitalisation and its impact on ESG metrics during a decade (2010-2020) of rapid technological progress, focusing on Chinese-listed companies. Utilising a text-based index to measure digitalisation, we find that while digitalisation positively influences ESG ratings, supporting resource-based and dynamic capability theories, its relationship with corruption reveals complex dynamics. Surprisingly, corruption strengthens digitalisation’s positive impact on ESG, raising concerns about technology being used to enhance ESG appearances artificially. A distinct difference emerges between state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and non-SOEs; SOEs use digitalisation more ethically and are less influenced by corruption, indicating a more responsible approach to technology adoption. Through examining cash holdings, internal controls, and audit fees, we unpack how corruption influences the digitalisation-ESG nexus. These insights underscore the need for policy that encourages ethical digitalisation and highlight the potential role of SOEs in leading the charge towards sustainable and ethical digitalisation.
  • 详情 Informal System and Enterprise Green Innovation: Evidence from Chinese Red Culture
    The influence of informal institutions such as history and culture on corporate behavior has been widely recognized, but few studies have been analyzed from the perspective of the ruling party culture. Based on the data of the old revolutionary base areas (ORBA) in China, this paper makes an empirical test on the role of Red Culture in promoting enterprises green innovation. First, this paper finds that the stronger the Red Culture in the region where the enterprise is located, the higher the level of green innovation.Secondly, in the samples with high political sensitivity and less cultural conflict, the promoting effect of Red Culture is more obvious. This paper not only expands the relevant literature on the influence of informal system on enterprise green innovation, but also enriches the research on the influence of Chinese unique culture on enterprise management decision-making.
  • 详情 Weathering the Market: How Insider Trading Responds to Operational Disruptions
    We investigate the impact of severe snowfall induced operational disruptions on insider trading. Applying geospatial analytics to an extensive dataset of snow cover, we conduct granular analyses of snowstorms across firms at establishment level. When analyzing a sample of firms that operate in snowfall-impacted areas, we find that corporate insiders significantly adjust their trading behavior during these events. These insiders not only predict lower future returns but also increase the size of their sales in response to snowfall crises. Further, we explore the salience and operational insights channels through which snowfall triggers informed insider sales. Our findings show that insiders residing in impacted regions, as well as senior insiders with unique operational insights, effectively avoid losses during these periods. The snow intensity test reveals that these phenomena are more pronounced for snowstorms of greater severity. We also provide direct evidence that establishments under severe snow strikes experience lower total sales volumes. Our study highlights the capacity of insiders to anticipate and respond to weather-related business risks.