• 详情 金融开放对经济高质量发展的结构性驱动效应
    加深对金融开放与经济高质量发展之间关系的认识对于引导金融开放战略服务社会经济发展大局具有重要意义。文章基于 2005—2021 年 280 个地级及以上城市的面板数据,考察了金融开放对经济高质量发展的影响及其内在机理。研究发现,金融开放对经济高质量发展具有显著的“结构性”驱动作用,对创新发展、协调发展、共享发展的驱动作用尤其明显。与资本流动强度相比,金融业开放对经济高质量发展的“结构性”促进效应更为显著。金融开放对经济高质量发展的积极效果主要体现在中部、东部地区和中心城市。随着城市经济发展质量的提升,金融开放对其驱动作用呈依次递增态势。机制分析表明,金融开放会通过激励产业结构转型升级渠道优化经济发展质效,推动城市经济高质量发展。调节效应检验发现,在金融监管强度较高的地区,金融开放对城市经济高质量发展的促进作用更大,并且金融监管的调节作用存在非线性门限效应,当其跨过一定门限值之后,金融开放对经济高质量发展具有更强的驱动效果。文章的研究结论为深化金融改革开放、提升经济发展质效及完善金融监管框架提供可靠的理论与经验依据。
  • 详情 Quantitative Investment and Stock Price Crash Risk in China: Perspective of Quantitative Mutual Funds Holdings
    This study examines the impact of quantitative investment on stock price crash risk from the perspective of quantitative mutual funds holdings. The results show that quantitative mutual funds holdings can significantly reduce stock price crash risk, and this effect is more pronounced in subsamples characterized by executives with overseas backgrounds, higher internal governance efficiency, greater analyst attention, and higher profit volatility. Further research finds that quantitative mutual funds holdings can suppress the risk of stock price crash by smoothing the volatility of stock returns and optimizing the valuation of firms. This study sheds light on the effects of quantitative investment on stock price crash risk.
  • 详情 Dynamic Efficiency Redux: Evidence from China
    Dynamic efficiency is an essential issue in macroeconomics and finance, central to the analyses of economic growth, asset pricing, and fiscal policies for both academia and policymakers. We offer an integrated analysis of metrics from the perspective of interest rates and capital returns, examining the relationship between varying rates of return r and growthg in China. We compare the risk-free rate rf, the returns on assets re, and the returns on capital rk with the growth rate g. Our findings indicate that, in general, rf < g, g < re, and g < rk. As the economy slows, the gap between rf and g continues to shrink, while the signs suggest that returns to capital are falling slightly slower than the rate of economic growth. Furthermore, we use a state-space model to estimate China’s natural rate of interest r∗ and potential output growth rate g∗. We find that r∗ < g∗ and the gap between themhas gradually narrowed over the past two decades.
  • 详情 Government Environmental Credit Ratings And Bond Credit Spreads: Evidence from China
    We investigate the impact of government environmental credit ratings on bond credit spreads based on a sample of Chinese A-share listed companies from 2014 to 2022. Empirical results demonstrate that a favourable environmental credit rating significantly reduces bond credit spreads, highlighting the incentivising effect of environmental credit ratings. Mechanism testing reveals that a good environmental credit rating diminishes information asymmetry and enhances an enterprise’s resource acquisition capabilities, reducing bond credit spreads. Furthermore, subgroup analyses suggest the reduction effect is more pronounced in enterprises with low debt and tax credit ratings.
  • 详情 Government Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Response: An Evidence Based on China's National Centralized Drug Procurement Policy
    We use the event study method to assess the impact of China's National Centralized Drug Procurement (NCDP) policy on the stock price of A-share listed companies in pharmaceutical industry. And the empirical evidence reveals that the policy has a negative effect on the share prices of firms won the bids in the past six centralized procurement. The stock prices of winning bidders were more negatively affected than those of non-winning bidders. If the winning bid price continues to be depressed, we cannot rule out the possibility of a collective abandonment of bidding by quality manufacturers.
  • 详情 中国证券内幕交易的执法强度及其影响因素:实证研究与完善建议 (The Intensity and Determinants of Insider Trading Law Enforcement in China: Empirical Research and Suggestions for Improvement)
    本文首次对我国 2019 年新证券法生效前的内幕交易案件进行了一个全面和深入的实证研究,并与境外法域进行比较,揭示我国内幕交易法律的执行情况。我国对内幕交易的打击力度持续加大,案件数量显著增长,以行政处罚为主,但 2008 年后刑事处罚逐渐增加。内幕交易变得更为隐蔽,体现在非传统类型的内幕人增多、内幕信息主要与并购相关、选择只交易且利用他人账户交易等。我国的内幕交易处罚类型与境外法域基本接轨,处罚强度甚至居于前列,其主要的影响因素包括违法所得、社会影响、减轻处罚情节、是否使用他人账户等。基于这些发现,本文评价了 2019 年证券法相关修订,提出了相关完善建议,并指出了需要进一步研究的课题。
  • 详情 Transforming Rural Trade: The Impact of Government-Initiated E-commerce Platform on Local Specialty Sales
    This paper empirically evaluates the impact of a Government-Initiated Non-Profit Ecommerce Platform (GNEP) on specialty agricultural sales, focusing specifically on Pu’er tea in China. Using a difference-in-differences methodology and a comprehensive panel dataset that covers over 90% of local tea farmers, we uncover a marked substitution effect. The implementation of GNEP leads to an average decline of 11.22% in offline household sales, while online sales see an uptick of 16.88%. Further analysis confirms a universal channel shift from offline to online sales, irrespective of both production levels and tea quality. Contrary to expectations, the overall tea sales volume remains largely stable post-launch. Additionally, premium-quality teas experience a 2.42% price boost online, while regular teas show a 0.40% decrease compared to offline prices. Mechanism analyses further indicate that the increase in online sales is driven primarily by the intensive margin instead of the extensive margin. Although the platform does not significantly expand the number of farmers engaging in online sales, it succeeds in offering a cost-effective avenue for diversifying product offerings and achieving higher prices for premium-quality products. Our study illuminates the transformative role of e-commerce platforms in rural economic development and provides essential insights for policymakers and practitioners.
  • 详情 A welfare analysis of the Chinese bankruptcy market
    How much value has been lost in the Chinese bankruptcy system due to excessive liquidation of companies whose going concern value is greater than the liquidation value? I compile new judiciary bankruptcy auction data covering all bankruptcy asset sales from 2017 to 2022 in China. I estimate the valuation of the asset for both the final buyer and creditor through the revealed preference method using an auction model. On average, excessive liquidation results in a 13.5% welfare loss. However, solely considering the liquidation process, an 8% welfare gain is derived from selling the asset without transferring it to the creditors. Firms that are (1) larger in total asset size, (2) have less information disclosure, (3) have less access to the financial market, and (4) possess a higher fraction of intangible assets are more vulnerable to such welfare loss. Overall, this paper suggests that policies promoting bankruptcy reorganization by introducing distressed investors who target larger bankruptcy firms suffering more from information asymmetry will significantly enhance welfare in the Chinese bankruptcy market.
  • 详情 CSNCD: China Stock News Co-mention Dataset
    In this paper, we introduce the first dataset that records the news co-mention relationships in the Chinese A-share market. In total, we collected 1,138,247 pieces of news articles that at least mentioned one listed firm in the A market from major Chinese media and financial websites from September 1999 to December 2022. The development of this dataset could enable data scientists and financial economists to investigate the network of stocks through news co-mention in the Chinese stock market. The dataset could also help to construct novel portfolio strategies like the cross-firm momentum strategy with news-implied links as in Ge et al. (2023).
  • 详情 Maturity Mismatch, Financialisation, and Productivity: Evidence from China
    Efficient enterprise development plays a crucial role in the achievement of economic efficiency, which is reflected in the improvement of total factor productivity (TFP). This study examines the effect of corporate maturity mismatch on TFP and explores whether financialisation influences this relationship. This study uses data from Chinese A-share listed non-financial enterprises from 2007 to 2019. We find that maturity mismatch negatively impacts TFP through performance inhibition, agency costs, and capital allocation efficiency reduction. Additionally, we find that financialisation positively moderates the negative effect of corporate maturity mismatch on TFP, and the effect is more pronounced when a firm has higher risk-bearing capacity and greater governance efficiency. We use two-stage least squares to demonstrate the robustness of our results.