• 详情 提高农业政策性金融效率的几点建议
    内容摘要:在我国加入WTO后,随着农产品关税的减让、进口农产品配额的增加以及取消农产品出口补贴等WTO条款相继生效,国外优质低价粮棉油将对我国形成冲击。农业政策性金融机构保证保护价粮食和粮棉油储备收购资金的及时足额供应,按“以销定贷,以效定贷”的原则,做好非保护价粮油和棉花的收购资金供应管理工作,促进粮棉购销政策的落实。改善农业政策金融服务,提高信贷资产质量,有效控制政策性信贷风险,。严格按照“顺价销售”原则,降低不合理占用贷款比例、挤占挪用贷款比例,提高新增库贷比例、销售货款回笼率、销售货款归行率、贷款利息回收率,督促粮棉收储企业将销售收入全额回笼归行,足额收贷收息,提高收贷收息水平,保证信贷资金运用率保持在较高水平,实现政策性资金“保本微利”的目标。当前应当重点检查是否按“斤钱斤粮”的原则,新增贷款与新增库存值同步增长;进一步加强对企业的财务监督,拓展监管视野,把监管渗透到企业财务、会计核算、资产负债和经营活动这中。
  • 详情 Ultimate Corporate Ownership Structure and Capital Structure:Evidence from East Asia
    This paper studies the relationship between corporate leverage and the ultimate corporate ownership structure, particularly the separation of cash flow rights and control rights. We empirically disentangle the three potential effects of the divergence of control rights from cash flow rights on corporate leverage, i.e., the non-dilution entrenchment effect, the bonding role of debt and the fear-of-financial-distress entrenchment effect. Our evidence from the East Asian corporations mainly supports the notion that controlling shareholders with relatively small ownership share tend to increase leverage out of the motive of raising external finance without diluting their shareholding dominance. The separation of cash flow rights and control rights contributes to the risk-taking tendency of the large controlling shareholders in capital structure choice.
  • 详情 不良贷款与经济增长――一个理论模型及来自澳大利亚的证据
    金融的作用一方面是进行资源配置,加速储蓄向投资转化,另一方面也起到在经济体内部分散风险的作用。由于投资本身固有的风险特性,正常的规范运作的银行也一定会存在一定的不良贷款,这是人类进行商业探险探索必须承担的成本。从理论上说,高回报也就意味着高风险,因而一个经济体的增长速度应该与不良贷款比例(也即用银行贷款违约率来衡量的风险程度)呈现某种正向相关的关系。为此,我们建立了一个理论分析模型,并利用澳大利亚1994年第三季度至2005年第二季度的数据进行了实证检验。
  • 详情 正确认识我国现阶段的中小企业融资问题
    中小企业融资难的根源在于现行融资体制不合理。中小企业融资问题因经济的发展和经济体制的变迁而生,并将随着经济进一步向高级阶段发展和经济体制的进一步完善而解,因此,可以说中小企业融资难其实是我国经济发展和融资体制变迁过程中的一个阶段性规律,解决中小企业融资问题的根本途径在于进一步推动国民经济的全面发展,加快经济体制改革步伐,尽快走出这一特定的发展阶段。
  • 详情 法律理解与适用应有规则可循??谈担保法司法解释第4条的理解与适用
    中国城乡金融报今年4月23日刊登的《公司为股东担保的效力解读》一文中提及,最高人民法院在湖北潜江农行与幸福集团公司抵押借款合同纠纷案的判决中认为,按照《公司法》第六十条第三款和《担保法》司法解释第四条的规定,董事、经理以公司资产为本公司的股东或者其他个人债务提供担保的,担保合同无效;幸福实业股份有限公司为其股东幸福集团公司提供抵押,违反了该规定,因而担保行为无效。笔者认为,对法律条文的理解与适用应有一定的规则,应严格从法律条文的字面意义出发,兼顾立法本意和公平,不可断章取义。而最高人民法院在该案中对《担保法》司法解释第四条的理解与适用,则违反了该规则,将法条中的股东扩大理解为既包括个人股东也包括公司股东,进而判决抵押无效,属法律适用不当。
  • 详情 美国高盛投资银行股票价值分析(英文)
    这篇论文研究了国际投资银行业的发展趋势,用DDM,RESIDUAL INCOME 和PRICE MULTIPLES 三种方法探讨了美国高盛公司的股票价值,全文约60页,包括了作者能收集到的大部分高盛公司的资料。 SSRN 联接:(http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=577841) Preface Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE stock ticker: GS) is one of the leading investment banks and a Fortune 500 firm, with its IPO in 1999. In this paper, we will present a detailed stock analysis on GS stock. Our paper will focus on two aspects: 1. Illustrate investment banking industry competition drivers. 2. Value GS stock with three methods: Dividends Discount Model (DDM), Price/Earning Multiple and Residual income method. Charts in Main Text 1: Major Trend--Consolidation 2: Segments Trends Analysis 3: ROE of Industry Leaders 4: Major Cost Driver--Salary 5: GS Common-Size Income Statement 6: GS Five-Year Stock Chart 7: GS Valuation Ratios
  • 详情 Why Banking Regulation? A Theory of Banking Regulation
    We argue that the existing literature, which justifies banking regulation by either market failures or regulation capture, cannot explain why banking is one of the most regulated industries and why banking regulation is a relatively recent institution in market economies. We present a new theory of banking regulation based on government failure. We first explain that banking as a market institution is intrinsically stable and effective, since its unique financial structure, i.e. most funds come from deposits, makes it very difficult for a bank to be refinanced when its investment projects are unsuccessful, thereby hardening their budget constraint and disciplining the bank’s investment decisions. However, the advent of modern governments, who have both the resources and incentive to bail out failing banks, destroys the stabilizing mechanism of banking. We call this government failure. Banking regulation is an institutional resolution to the government failure by restricting banks’ investment decisions before they fail. We provide historical as well as contemporary evidence to support the theory and explore predictions of the theory that are not derived in the existing theories.
  • 详情 住房按揭贷款支持证券(RMBS)的现金流及投资风险分析
    本文列举了资产支持证券的种类,以各种资产支持证券的不同现金流特点为分析的出发点,指出不同种类的资产支持证券的风险,并分析了国内发行和投资资产支持证券独有的风险。
  • 详情 H股折价与信息不对称实证研究
    在中国,外资股市场上的股票价格比相同公司在A股市场上市的股票价格要低,这就是所谓的外资股“折价”现象。本文以A、H股双重上市公司的H股折价现象为研究对象,通过实证分析,寻找影响折价及其程度的关键因素。研究表明信息不对称因素是影响H股折价程度的关键因素之一,并且,A、H股市场间的信息不对称存在着方向性。
  • 详情 留住旧奶酪 赢取新奶酪
    跨国公司作为中外商业银行竞相争夺的重点优质客户,其对金融服务提出了越来越高的要求,而目前各中资银行无论在服务的标准、内容、范围上均存在不小的差距。本文通过深层次原因的分析,提出今后各中资银行在服务理念、管理流程设计等多个方面努力的方向。