• 详情 Climate Transition Risks and Trade Credit: Evidence from Chinese Listed Firms
    This study examines the impact of climate-transition risks on trade credits for Chinese listed companies from 2007-2017. We develop an index of county-level climate-transition risks faced by Chinese-listed companies using data on local carbon emissions and carbon sequestration when moving towards net zero carbon emissions. Our two-way fixed effects OLS regression results find that local firms facing greater climate-transition risks significantly reduce their trade credit financing. Specifically, a one standard deviation of increase in Risk leads to a 0.73% decrease in trade credit. This reduction is more pronounced for state-owned enterprises (SOEs), firms operating in less competitive industries, and those headquartered in regions without carbon trading markets. Our main finding is robust to a battery of sensitivity tests including the use of alternative measures and lagged independent variables. Results on an Instrumental Variable (IV) method and a differences-in-difference (DiD) analysis suggest a causal relationship between climate-transition risks on trade credit. Further analyses reveal two plausible channels for the effect: increased financial distress risk and enhanced access to bank credit.
  • 详情 When Local and Foreign Investors Meet Chinese Government's Risk Perception About Covid-19
    This paper examines the different responses of local and foreign investors to host government risk perceptions in the context of extreme events. We develop COVID-19 attention indices that capture attention related to COVID-19 according to China Central Television (CCTV) news program and further construct the government’s risk perception (GRPC) measure about COVID-19. Given the cross-listed AH-shares in China, we find that GRPC caused the extreme movement of stock markets by applying the multi-quantile VaR Granger causality approach. The results show that the reaction of cross-listed stocks in the A-share market is more inflexible than that in the H-share market during the outbreak period of the pandemic, foreign investors follow GRPC as a weather vane than local investors, and both types of investors are more concerned about the pessimism of GRPC. In the period of epidemic normalization, local and foreign investors prefer the optimistic attitude conveyed by the Chinese government.
  • 详情 Do Short-Sale Constraints Inhibit Information Acquisition? Evidence from the Us and Chinese Markets
    This study examines how short-sale constraints affect investors’ information acquisition and thereby shape stock price efficiency. By exploiting two settings that relax short-sale constraints in the US and China, respectively, we find that the removal of short-sale constraints increases investors’ information acquisition in both markets, but the effect is more prompt in China. Investors acquire value-relevant information, especially bad news, and improve their short-selling decisions in both markets. Lastly, information acquisition induced by the removal of short-sale constraints improves price efficiency. Our evidence shows that a reduction in trading frictions promotes information acquisition and improves price efficiency.
  • 详情 Analyst Reports and Stock Performance: Evidence from the Chinese Market
    This article applies natural language processing (NLP) to extract and quan- tify textual information to predict stock performance. Leveraging an exten- sive dataset of Chinese analyst reports and employing a customized BERT deep learning model for Chinese text, this study categorizes the sentiment of the reports as positive, neutral, or negative. The findings underscore the predictive capacity of this sentiment indicator for stock volatility, excess re- turns, and trading volume. Specifically, analyst reports with strong positive sentiment will increase excess return and intraday volatility, and vice versa, reports with strong negative sentiment also increase volatility and trading volume, but decrease future excess return. The magnitude of this effect is greater for positive sentiment reports than for negative sentiment reports. This article contributes to the empirical literature exploring sentiment anal- ysis and the response of the stock market to news on the Chinese stock market.
  • 详情 "Accelerator" or "Brake Pads": Evidence from Chinese A-Share Listed Financial Firms
    The asymmetric dissemination of information among financial firms in the financial market reflects their asymmetric response to the dissemination of both positive and negative information. However, it is worth studying whether this asymmetry will intensify or alleviate under different financial market conditions. Based on high-frequency minute stock price data of Chinese A-share listed financial firms from July 2020 to July 2023, we decompose the good and bad information, as well as the positive and negative volatility information in the return series. We utilize the quantile cross-spectral correlation method to construct an information overflow network at monthly intervals. We use the MVMQ-CAViaR model to estimate the value at risk (VaR) for various quantiles and build a risk spillover network that incorporates both positive and negative tail risk information, using the quantile dynamic SIM-COVAR-TENET model. We calculated the network dissemination efficiency of both good and bad information, including average speed, speed deviation, densest speed, and depth, to explore the changes in the asymmetry of good and bad information dissemination under different financial market conditions. We get that when the financial market is booming, financial firms’ asymmetric response to good and bad information will increase, and the firms will pay more attention to bad information. When the financial market declines, the asymmetric response of financial firms to good and bad information is diminished, and their sensitivity to both positive and negative information is heightened. In addition, the dissemination of bad information by firms in the five sub-financial industries across various markets exacerbates the asymmetric response of other financial firms to good and bad information. More importantly, the release of positive return information, negative volatility information, and highly negative tail risk information by the real estate financial firms all impact the asymmetric response of financial firms to good and bad information in a prosperous financial market. In recessionary financial markets, financial regulators can strategically release positive information to mitigate the decline in the financial market. Conversely, in a booming financial market, financial regulators should be cautious of the negative impact that bad information can have on financial firms, particularly in relation to the excessive growth of the real estate sector and the potential chain reaction of significant adverse events.
  • 详情 Trade Policy Uncertainty and Market Diversification by Risk-Averse Firms
    This study investigates the relationship between trade policy uncertainty (TPU) and market diversification with risk-averse firms. We build a model to demonstrate how a risk-averse firm diversifies risks stemming from escalating TPU through entering new markets whose trade policies are negatively correlated with ones in its already-entered markets. The positive effect of TPU on market diversification is moderated if the firm has lower risk hedging ability and/or is less risk-averse. Conditional on the TPU in the already-entered markets, there is an inverted-U relationship between TPU in the new market and the probability of entering it. Using a unique firm-product-level dataset on Chinese exporters, we find robust evidence supporting our theoretical predictions.
  • 详情 国内大市场优势与企业自主创新
    双循环发展格局的提出是我国应对当前经济形势变化、推动经济实现高质量发展的重要战略之举,这需要我国企业在以国内大循环为主体的新发展格局中探寻发展机遇。文章利用改进的市场潜力反映国内大市场的需求优势,进而基于中国工业企业数据库、中国工业企业专利数据库和中国地级及以上城市面板数据的匹配数据,探讨在新发展格局背景下,国内大市场优势对企业自主创新的影响效应。结果显示,国内大市场优势可通过降低企业平均成本、促进产业链技术外溢和提升中间品共享效应等渠道显著提升企业自主创新水平,该结论在使用城市地理信息数据和我国清代各州、府、县衙门数据进行内生性分析、考虑样本极端值及更换核心变量后的估计中依然成立。进一步分析发现,国际市场强化了国内大市场优势对企业创新的提升作用,现阶段国内、国际市场之间呈现出明显的互动趋势。国内、国际市场对企业创新的协同影响效应因企业所在行业类型、企业贸易类型、内外资类型及专利类型而具有较大差异。文章结论对于中国企业依托国内统一大市场优势构建自主可控的创新体系,进而提升企业创新水平和国际竞争力方面具有重要的现实意义。
  • 详情 ESG Rating Disagreement and Stock Price Synchronicity: Evidence from China
    Using data from Chinese A-share listed companies from 2010 to 2021, we examined the impact of ESG rating disagreement on stock price synchronicity and its mechanisms. We discovered that ESG rating disagreement increases stock price synchronicity by raising investors' information costs and reducing the efficiency of ESG information incorporation into prices. This effect is more pronounced when average ESG ratings are either low or high. Our findings highlight how ESG rating disagreement affects stock price synchronicity and provide insights for regulators to standardize rating criteria and foster a conducive ESG investment environment, promoting pricing efficiency in the capital markets.
  • 详情 Volume and Stock Returns in the Chinese Market
    Although China has made great economic achievements, it is still an emerging market, and the financial market systems are different from those of developed countries. As such, the market phenomenon presented in mature financial markets may be different from that in the Chinese stock market. This paper reveals that the impact of volume on anomalous returns in the Chinese stock market shows different effects on overvalued stocks and undervalued stocks, while volume in the mature US financial market shows the classic theory of volume amplifying the effect of anomalous returns (Han et al. 2021). What causes this? Our research indicates that the relationship between volume and future stock returns in China differs from that in US due to the stringent short-selling restrictions imposed in China. In China, strong short-selling restrictions are in place, a decrease in volume has a significantly negative relationship with future returns for both overvalued (t-value = 6.50) and undervalued (t-value = 2.45) stocks. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the underlying mechanism in the effects of volume on the future returns of overpriced and underpriced stocks are distinct.
  • 详情 Supply and Demand of Lithium in China Based on Dynamic Material Flow Analysis
    Lithium demand in China has grown rapidly with the popularization of 3C electronics, electric vehicles, and other products. As an important part of the global processing of lithium products, China still relies on importing a vast majority of raw lithium materials, which significantly affects the supply security of China's lithium market. Therefore, this study used material flow analysis to analyze the supply and demand characteristics of China's lithium trading market from the trade material flow and industrial material flow. The results showed that that the import of lithium resources in China is mainly concentrated on lithium carbonate, which is the raw material for power batteries, and the import of lithium accounts for 72.5% of the consumption in China. With the increasing demand for lithium in China, secondary lithium recovered from end-of-life (EoL) batteries is expected to become an important lithium source.