• 详情 Beyond Democratic Assumptions: Altruism, Political Citizenship and State-Society Relations in Contemporary China
    This study challenges democratic citizenship theory by examining altruistic behaviour in authoritarian China. We find that financial resources influence prosocial engagement primarily through psychological mediators such as long-term planning and self-discovery, rather than directly providing material means for participation. Communist Party membership shapes specific domestic ideological orientations, but not attitudes toward market regulation or income equality, while cultural tradition emerges as a stronger predictor of certain political attitudes than party affiliation. Cluster analysis identifies three distinct citizen profiles: (1) future-oriented altruists; (2) status-driven contributors; and, (3) short-termpragmatists, revealing motivational heterogeneity within authoritarian publics. These findings suggest that authoritarian citizenship operates through psychological mediation and plural motivational pathways fundamentally different from democratic societies, with potential applicability to other single-party regimes where states actively structure prosocial behaviour. The study contributes to comparative authoritarianism literature by theorizing how regime type moderates the relationship between socio-economic resources, political identity, and civic engagement.
  • 详情 Environmental data-driven dynamic Bayesian network for risk performance evolution in China's coastal shipping
    With the rapid development of the global shipping industry, maritime traffic continues to grow, and maritime traffic risks are becoming increasingly prominent, posing serious threats to economic development, the ecological environment, and public safety. In this context, this study develops an environmental data-driven dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) model to simulate the dynamic evolution process of maritime traffic risks from the massive data of complex shipping systems. Firstly, based on the systems theoretic accident model and processes (STAMP) accident causation analysis framework, risk influencing factors (RIFs) are identified through the analysis of maritime accident report systems. Secondly, addressing the dynamic nature of maritime risks, a novel transition probability matrix (TPM) learning mechanism integrating environmental data is proposed, constructing a DBN model capable of characterizing temporal risk performance. Finally, a case study of typical routes along the Chinese coast reveals that risk performance evolution exhibits significant spatiotemporal heterogeneity across sea areas, with the East Sea and South China Sea regions being the most prominent. Their fluctuations are highly correlated with seasonal meteorological and hydrological changes, and the distribution of accident risks is also closely associated with extreme weather events such as typhoons. Sensitivity analysis validates the model's reliability. This study provides a quantitative tool for the dynamic risk management of intelligent shipping systems and offers policy insights for intelligent maritime transportation safety regulation.
  • 详情 How has the COVID-19 pandemic brought opportunities amidst challenges for Industrial Evolution to Metropolitan Peripheral Regions? The Case of Yangtze River Delta, China
    The COVID-19 pandemic has reshaped regional economic landscapes. However, academic research has not yet sufficiently addressed how external investment in regions has been transformed under the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and its influence on industrial evolution patterns. In this paper, we integrate insights from economic geography literature and develop a conceptual framework to further theorise the relationship between external shocks, changes in the industrial heterogeneity of investment from regional core cities, and local industrial dynamics. Using the COVID-19 pandemic and the Yangtze River Delta region as a case study, we employ an intensity-based Difference-in-Differences (DID) approach and draw on business registration and enterprise investment databases to estimate the impact of the pandemic shock on the evolution of local industrial dynamics between 2018 and 2024. Our findings indicate that after the core cities underwent the shock of the COVID-19 pandemic, the path dependence of industrial evolution in their surrounding areas significantly increased. The stronger the economic linkage with Shanghai, the more pronounced this effect. However, this impact also exhibits spatial heterogeneity across the Yangtze River Delta, associated with regional industrial division of labour and cooperation. This paper offers an innovative examination of how changes in the industrial heterogeneity of investment inflows from core cities—specifically, dimensions such as relatedness to local industries, industrial upgrading, and diversification—shape the mechanisms of local industrial evolution following the COVID-19 shock. Our findings offer important implications for regional development and adaptive responses in the post-pandemic era.
  • 详情 Household debt overhang and bankruptcy abuse prevention 家庭债务积压与预防破产滥用
    Bankruptcy abuse prevention has been criticized for increasing foreclosure rates, imposing negative impacts on housing markets, and aggravating the financial crisis. By contrast, this paper documents that bankruptcy abuse prevention reduces household debt overhang, a phenomenon harmful to home values and housing markets. Using a difference-in-differences analysis, we find that households in recourse states increased their home improvement and maintenance expenditures after the Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act, a period during which the households paid considerable attention to the downside risk of the housing market, and that the effects vary by home equity level. The results remain unchanged with alternative specifications and cannot be explained by credit changes, judicial and nonjudicial foreclosures, homestead exemption, house sales, or heterogeneous expectations. Last but not least, we use entropy balancing to eliminate the differences between the treatment and control groups and get similar results. 预防破产滥用的政策被认为推高止赎率、对住房市场造成负面影响以及加剧金融危机而饱受批评。与之相反,本文证明破产滥用预防能够缓解家庭债务积压(debt overhang)—— 而债务积压恰恰是一种损害房屋价值与住房市场的现象。采用双重差分(DID)分析,我们发现:在《破产滥用预防与消费者保护法案》(BAPCPA)实施后,**追索权州(recourse states)**的家庭增加了住房改善与维护支出;该时期家庭对住房市场的下行风险高度关注,且上述效应因房屋净值水平的不同而存在异质性。在多种替代设定下结果依然稳健,且不能被信贷变化、司法与非司法止赎、宅基地豁免、房屋销售或异质性预期所解释。最后,我们使用熵平衡(entropy balancing)方法消除处理组与控制组之间的差异,同样得到了一致的结果。
  • 详情 Alcohol consumption and the value of community
    his article investigates the value of access to alcohol consumption by examining housing price changes after a liquor ban that was catalyzed by an unexpected riot in Singapore. The ban restricts alcohol consumption in liquor control zones further than in areas outside such zones. We find that the housing price changes in the liquor control zones were weak, which implies that the utility and disutility of alcohol consumption almost cancel each other out. In contrast, housing prices increased for houses within 800 m of but outside the liquor control zones. We investigate potential explanations for these phenomena.
  • 详情 Regulation-induced digitalization
    This paper investigates how environmental regulation induces firm digitalization. We construct a digital index based on textual analyses and find that after the implementation of the program, pilot firms' digitalization increased relative to that of a group of carefully matched control firms, which is opposite to the findings in the extant literature on technology adoption. This increase cannot be fully explained by regional unobservables, firms' own innovation, firm selection, or other policies. The results are robust when we consider firm subsidiaries. The increase in digitalization is not due to regulatory arbitrage, and the industry-level concentration of digitalization changes little.
  • 详情 Tackling India's jobs plight: underutilised levers and lessons from China
    Despite strong GDP growth and a favourable demographic profile, India faces an impending jobs crisis. A large share of the workforce remains employed in low-productivity agriculture, while many new labour market entrants are absorbed into the persistently large informal sector. By contrast, China’s rapid ascent was driven by manufacturing-led, export-oriented industrialisation, underpinned by large inflows of foreign direct investment and sustained technology transfer. India’s manufacturing base remains modest in contrast. The bulk of well-paid, formal employment continues to be concentrated in the high-skill services sector. This paper contrasts the development trajectories of these two economies and identifies several underutilised jobs-growth levers in India: manufacturing, goods exports, manufacturing-oriented foreign direct investment and innovation. All of these remain underdeveloped, yet together they offer a pathway to more labour-absorbing, durable growth. Leveraging them effectively would be central to achieving India’s ‘Viksit Bharat 2047’ ambition of attaining high-income status. The scale of India’s challenge to employ eight to ten million labour-market entrants per year implies that job creation must become an explicit policy priority. This calls for greater trade openness, particularly with Asia and Europe, to integrate India into Asia-centric global supply chains as an alternative to China. Labour market reform is equally critical, making the effective implementation of the new labour codes essential. Strengthening innovation ecosystems and realigning education and skills policies to support industrialisation are also key. Without these structural shifts, India’s current pattern of jobless growth risks transforming its demographic dividend into a long-term liability.
  • 详情 From Invoicing to Anchoring: How RMB Swap Lines Shape Exchange Rate Anchoring in Small Open Economies
    This paper studies whether and how policies that promote a currency’s use in international invoicing can also strengthen its role as an anchor currency in other economies’ exchange rate baskets. We exploit the establishment of swap lines by the People’s Bank of China as a natural setting to examine this mechanism. First, we estimate countries’ implicit currency baskets and the weights assigned to the RMB. We then use a staggered difference-in-differences design to assess the effect of initiating swap line agreements on the RMB’s weights in these baskets. Our results indicate that RMB weights increase by approximately 5% about nine months after a swap line is introduced and remain persistently higher thereafter. Finally, we develop a three-country DSGE model to interpret these findings, showing that by promoting RMB invoicing, swap lines reinforce the RMB’s role as an anchor currency for exchange rate stabilization.