• 详情 Does analyst coverage affect corporate ESG performance? Evidence from China
    In the new wave of sustainable finance, firms are under increasing pressure from stakeholders to engage in ESG activities, among which the role of financial analysts is a key driving factors of corporate sustainability. This paper investigates the effect of analyst coverage on corporate environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance. Using the dataset of listed firms in China from 2009 to 2020, we find that analyst coverage significantly improves the target firm’s ESG scores. We validate three non-mutually exclusive channels through which analyst coverage encourages ESG engagement: (1) encourage firms’ awareness on ESG issues via ESG-oriented information production; (2) alleviate ESG undervaluation and strengthen the financial relevance of ESG performance; (3) mitigate financial constraints to support corporate ESG activities. We establish causality with an instrumental variable estimation and a difference-in-differences approach. Our findings highlight the information intermediary role of financial analysts in driving corporate sustainability.
  • 详情 Research on the Path of China's Manufacturing ValueChain Improvement in the Era of Digital Intelligene
    Service oriented manufacturing is a new industrial form that integrates manufacturing and service development in the process of industrialization. In the era of digital economy, developing service-oriented manufacturing is an important way to strengthen the core competitiveness of the manufacturing industry, an important measure to expand domestic demand strategy, and an inevitable requirement to reshape the manufacturing value chain, enhance the resilience of the industrial chain, and promote the transformation of the manufacturing industry from large to strong. The article elaborates on the driving force for enterprises to carry out service-oriented manufacturing, which comes from fierce market competition, customer heterogeneity, and customer demand for complete solutions; Analyzed the mechanism and path of service-oriented manufacturing in the digital economy era, pointed out that digital empowers the transformation of the manufacturing industry, and promotes the global value chain climb of China's manufacturing industry; The article points out that changing from B2C to C2B is a fundamental disruption to the operational logic of the manufacturing industry; Analyzed the new characteristics and trends of service-oriented manufacturing such as personalized customization and product lifecycle management, and elaborated that lifecycle management is the high-end of the manufacturing value chain in the digital economy era. Chinese manufacturing enterprises should accelerate their transformation and strive to climb towards the high-end of the manufacturing value chain; Introduced the practices of companies such as Rolls Royce, Siemens, General Electric, and Sany Group in product lifecycle management. It is pointed out that adding high-quality, efficient, and differentiated services to industrial products is of great significance for enterprises to achieve differentiated competition and climb the global value chain of China's manufacturing industry.
  • 详情 Time-Frequency Domain Characteristics and Transmission Order of China Systemic Financial Risk Spillover Under Mpes Impact
    Based on the connectedness time-frequency domain decomposition method are adopted in this paper. With the help of network topology for visualization, the characteristics and transmission path of financial risks in the time-frequency domain under major emergencies are studied. The results show that after the occurrence of MPEs, the level of risk spillover in China's financial market usually decreases in the short term, medium term and long term. When the policy has a long time lag or the market reaction is not timely, the medium term risk spillover will be higher than the short term risk spillover.
  • 详情 Mild Government Failure
    A relatively mild form of government failure - for example, bureaucrats can count but do not differentiate quality - can significantly affect the efficacy of industrial policy. We investigate this idea in the context of China's largest pro-innovation industrial policy using a structural model. We find that the return to the subsidy program is -19.7\% (but would be 7.8\% if the mild government failure can be removed). Furthermore, the welfare loss is exacerbated by patent trade.
  • 详情 Can Evidence-Based Information Shift Preferences Towards Trade Policy?
    We investigate the role of evidence-based information in shaping individuals’preferences for trade policies through a series of survey experiments that contain randomized information treatments. Each treatment provides a concise statement of economics research findings on how openness to trade has affected labor market outcomes or goods prices. Across annual surveys from 2018-2022, each administered to a representative sample of the U.S. general population, we find that information influences trade policy preferences in complex ways. Information highlighting the link between trade and manufacturing job losses significantly raises expressed preferences for more limits on trade. Strikingly, information on the price benefits of trade (or the cost of tariffs) also induces protectionist policy choices, indicating that these preferences do not respond symmetrically to information on the gains versus losses from trade. We find evidence that these expressed preferences are driven in part by how the received information interacts with one's political identity, resulting in prior-biased belief updating, as well as by pre-existingconcerns over the impact on American jobs and over trade with China. Information that solely communicates the benefits of trade is thus unlikely to succeed unless it addresses these prior beliefs and concerns.
  • 详情 Hukou and Guanxi: How Social Discrimination and Networks Impact Intrahousehold Allocations in China
    Hukou, China’s household registration system, affects access to public services and signals the strength of a person’s local social network, guanxi. We use a collective model and data on household consumption and spouses’ hukou status to show that hukou plays a crucial role in determining within-family bargaining power. Wives who bring the family more lucrative hukou enjoy significantly higher bargaining power than other wives. Still, these wives have less bargaining power than their husbands. Large differences in preferences between husbands and wives, especially regarding alcohol, tobacco, and clothing, allow us to identify these disparities.
  • 详情 Chinese Insurance Markets: Developments and Prospects
    In this chapter, we review the development of the insurance industry in China. We provide a comprehensive discussion of its regulatory framework, major insurance segments, market structure, InsurTech, social insurance and the prospects for the future development.
  • 详情 碳价格,绿色投资与债券信用利差
    “双碳”目标下企业的绿色投资及风险管理策略受到预期碳价格变动的影响,并且绿色投资最优决策需要企业权衡投资不足的机会成本和绿色债务无法偿还的违约成本。考虑外部融资风险和随机流动性冲击,本文建立一个理论模型,量化研究碳价格对企业最优绿色投资规模和绿色债券信用利差的影响机制。碳资产可被质押使得碳价格在直接影响违约边界的同时,也通过影响绿色投资规模间接影响企业的违约边界,且模型发现由于碳价格对企业违约概率和违约成本的非对称影响,碳价格对信用风险的直接影响大于间接影响。理论结果与进一步的实证分析表明:碳价格的提高能够改善绿色投资企业的信用风险,降低绿色债券信用利差;存在碳价格的高低双重门槛来决定企业的最优绿色投资决策,当碳价格低于影子价格时,随着碳价格的提高,最优绿色投资规模增加、现金持有水平降低,而当碳价格处于显著大于影子价格的较高水平时,碳价格的提高反而降低最优绿色投资规模、提高现金持有水平;此外,当碳价格分别大于和小于高低门槛值时,企业绿色债券信用利差随着绿色投资规模的增加而分别相应地增加和减少。本文研究有助于更深入地理解碳定价机制对企业绿色投资决策和绿色债券定价所发挥的作用与微观机理。
  • 详情 金融不确定性与宏观经济尾部风险
    本文构建理论模型分析金融不确定性与经济下行风险之间的关系,并结合实证研究进行检验。理论模型基于风险积累渠道描述了金融不确定性通过干扰银行部门正确预期的形成,影响其主动风险承担水平,并最终影响经济下行风险的传导机制。实证部分基于 Jurado et al(2015)的大数据方法构建金融不确定性指数,并使用分位数回归从宏观层面进行研究,结果表明扩张波动期的金融不确定性对中长期经济增长左尾分布有显著的负面影响,这是由于扩张波动期的金融不确定性会使银行部门预期向好偏差,银行部门将提高其主动风险承担水平,从而增加中长期经济下行风险;紧缩波动期的金融不确定性将使银行部门预期向坏偏差,进而导致其主动风险承担水平下降,但该风险积累渠道发挥的作用较弱,此机制下金融不确定性对中长期经济下行风险的抑制作用不明显。
  • 详情 碳风险、区域低碳转型与银团贷款定价
    《巴黎气候协定》以及碳达峰、碳中和目标要求中国向低碳经济发展模式转型。本文以《巴黎气候协定》签署为事件冲击,采用连续型 DID 模型探究了区域低碳转型风险对银团贷款定价的影响。研究发现,自协定签署后,中国高碳排放地区的银团贷款存在显著为正的碳风险溢价;由于地区碳风险导致贷款违约风险上升,从而提高了企业贷款成本。此外,研究还发现:碳风险溢价的高低受地区自然环境和制度环境特征的影响;在法制化程度高的地区,银行因承担污染连带责任而提高对碳风险的重视程度,相应地提高了碳风险溢价;在产品市场发育程度高的地区,价格机制和竞争机制能够激励低碳产品生产和低碳技术研发,从而降低碳风险溢价;在发生气候灾害的地区,银行执行国家救济职能,会降低碳风险溢价;在森林覆盖率高的地区,碳中和更易实现,林业碳汇收益和碳汇抵押资产能够增加现金流并降低信用风险,从而降低碳风险溢价。本文研究对于推动中国区域低碳转型和降低企业融资成本具有重要的政策启示意义。