所属栏目:资本市场/外汇市场与汇率/2025/2025年第01期

DOI号:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.105020

Macroeconomic determinants of the long-term correlation between stock and exchange rate markets in China: A DCC-MIDAS-X approach considering structural breaks
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发布日期:2024年09月09日 上次修订日期:2024年09月09日

摘要

Owing to the liberalisation of financial markets, the impact of international capital flows on the Chinese stock market has become substantial. This study investigates the effects of economic policy uncertainty (EPU), geopolitical risk (GPR), consumer sentiment (CCI), macroeconomic fundamentals (MECI), and money supply (M2) on the correlations between the stock and exchange rate markets. The negative correlation between these two markets has become more pronounced in recent years. Moreover, EPU, GPR, CCI, and MECI negatively impact long-term stock-exchange rate correlations, while M2 has a positive impact. Portfolios of stock-exchange rates effectively reduce risk, especially when considering structural breaks.
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熊又林; 沈军; Seong-Min Yoon; 董希勇 Macroeconomic determinants of the long-term correlation between stock and exchange rate markets in China: A DCC-MIDAS-X approach considering structural breaks (2024年09月09日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/dzqk/detail/15900

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