所属栏目:银行与金融机构/金融与宏观经济

The Consequences of Mortgage Credit Expansion: Evidence from the 2007 Mortgage Default Crisis
认领作者 认领作者管理权限
发布日期:2008年11月13日 上次修订日期:2008年11月13日

摘要

We conduct a within-county analysis using detailed zip code level data to document new findings regarding the origins of the biggest financial crisis since the Great Depression. The recent sharp increase in mortgage defaults is significantly amplified in subprime zip codes that experience an unprecedented relative growth in mortgage credit from 2002 to 2005. This expansion in mortgage credit to subprime zip codes occurs despite sharply declining relative (and in some cases absolute) income growth in these neighborhoods. In fact, 2002 to 2005 is the only period in the last 18 years when income and mortgage credit growth are negatively correlated. We show that the expansion in mortgage credit to subprime zip codes and its dissociation from income growth is closely correlated with the increase in securitization of subprime mortgages. Finally, we show that all of our key findings hold in markets with very elastic housing supply that have low house price growth during the credit expansion years. Overall, our findings favor a supply-based explanation for credit expansion over income-based or house price expectations-based hypotheses.
展开

Atif R. Mian; Amir Sufi The Consequences of Mortgage Credit Expansion: Evidence from the 2007 Mortgage Default Crisis (2008年11月13日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/12196

选择要认领的作者1
身份验证1
确认
取消