所属栏目:资本市场/资产定价

The Stock Market and Aggregate Employment
认领作者 认领作者管理权限
发布日期:2010年08月26日 上次修订日期:2010年08月26日

摘要

We study the connection between the stock market and the labor market. When aggregate risk premiums are time-varying, predictive variables for market excess returns should forecast longhorizon growth in the marginal bene?t of hiring and thereby long-horizon aggregate employment growth. Consistent with this logic, we document that high values of the risk premiums forecast low payroll growth and increases in unemployment rate in the short run, but high payroll growth and decreases in unemployment rate in the long run. High values of lagged payroll growth and decreases in lagged unemployment rate also forecast low stock market excess returns.
展开

论文统计数据

  • 浏览次数:

    2200
  • 下载次数:

    56

Long Chen; Lu Zhang The Stock Market and Aggregate Employment (2010年08月26日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/13343

选择要认领的作者1
身份验证1
确认
取消