所属栏目:资本市场/资产定价

Is There an Intraday Momentum Effect in Commodity Futures and Options: Evidence from the Chinese Market
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发布日期:2024年09月14日 上次修订日期:2024年09月14日

摘要

Based on high-frequency data of China's commodity market from 2017 to 2022, this article examines the intraday momentum effect. The results indicate that China's commodity futures and options have significant intraday reversal effects, and the overnight opening factor and opening to last half hour factor are more significant. These effects are driven, in part, by liquidity factors. This trend aligns with market makers' behavior, passively accepting orders during low liquidity and actively closing positions amid high liquidity. Furthermore, our examination of cross-predictive ability shows strong futures-to-options predictability, while the reverse is weaker. We posit options traders' Vega hedging as a key factor in this phenomenon, our study finds futures volatility changes can predict options’ return.
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Luyuan Zheng; Xingguo Luo Is There an Intraday Momentum Effect in Commodity Futures and Options: Evidence from the Chinese Market (2024年09月14日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/15909.html

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