所属栏目:银行与金融机构/金融与宏观经济

When Workers Leave, Fires Rise: Migration-Induced Agricultural Burning and Institutional Solutions in China
认领作者 认领作者管理权限
发布日期:2026年07月23日 上次修订日期:2026年07月23日

摘要

This paper quantifies the impact of rural–urban migration on agricultural fires, a major source of air pollution in China. Using satellite records and census data, we exploit an exogenous trade shock that raised manufacturing labor demand in destination prefec-tures, drawing workers from origin counties through established migration networks. A one-percentage-point increase in rural labor emigration in 2010 led to a 5% rise in agricultural fires from 2011 to 2017. The effect stems from reduced agricultural labor, which incentivizes fire use as a labor-saving clearing method. Consistent with this mech-anism, we find no effect from non-agricultural emigration or from migration to nearby areas where return farming remains feasible, with the strongest impact during harvest seasons. Institutional reforms, particularly land titling programs, significantly mitigate the problem by enhancing tenure security, enabling farmland reallocation, and reducing reliance on fire—proving more effective than nationwide administrative bans.
展开

Shiqi Guo; Yun Liu When Workers Leave, Fires Rise: Migration-Induced Agricultural Burning and Institutional Solutions in China (2026年07月23日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/16808.html

选择要认领的作者1
身份验证1
确认
取消