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  • 详情 Credit Market Timing
    In this paper we compare counterfactual corporate bond issuing dates to actual issuing dates in order to test the ability of firms to time the credit market. The 50 most active bond issuing financial firms and the 50 most active industrial firms are studied using one week, one month, and one quarter windows. The ability to time firm-specific CDS prices is studied from January 2002 - October 2009. The ability to time the risk-free rate (10 year US government bond) is studied from January 1988 - October 2009. We find that: firms do not successfully time the risk-free rate or the credit spreads. There is no evidence of CDS timing ability over one week or one month, but there is some borderline evidence at one quarter. For a typical bond issue, the firm loses about 1% of the face value of the bond relative to a 1 month window, due to their inability to time the market. If the firms could improve their market timing, they could save many hundreds of millions of dollars. Since there is a degree of statistical predictability in the data, we find it surprising that these firms are not able to do a better job of timing the credit market.
  • 详情 Financial Intermediation Development and Total Factor Productivity Growth: Evidence from Chinese Mainland provincial Panel Data
    Modern financial development theories suggest that, financial development can promote technological progress and long-term economic growth. Based on the Chinese mainland provincial panel data, the paper tests empirically the relation between financial intermediation development and total factor productivity growth. In terms of the degree-of-freedom of bank loan decision-making, the ratio of loans of private enterprises and individuals to total loans is used to measure the development of Chinese financial intermediation. This paper finds that financial intermediation development significantly promotes total factor productivity growth when controlling for other variables, such as capital formation rate, foreign direct investment, government intervention and the urbanization level
  • 详情 Empirical Research on the Relationship Between Equity Characters and Performance
    This study investigates the influence of equity characters characteristic on firm performance using panel data for 373 listed companies for the period from 2001 to 2009.We find that there is non-linear correlation between ownership characters and firm performance.(ii)the high state ownership has significant positive influence on performance but we have not found evidence that the small and medium state ownership have any influence on performance.(iii) the legal person ownership has negative influence on performance but the individual ownership is positive relation with performance.
  • 详情 Do stock prices underreact to information conveyed by investors' trades?
    We examine the process of stock prices adjusting to information conveyed by the trading process. Using the price impact of a trade to measure its information content, our analysis shows that the weekly price impact of market transactions has significant cross-sectional predictive power for returns in the subsequent week. The effect is sensitive to the level of informational asymmetry and is not due to excess liquidity demands or variations in rational risk premia. This finding suggests that prices may slowly incorporate trading information. We then characterize the key channel through which price underreaction occurs. We find that the price impact contains information that is not fully captured by public order flows and that a lead-lag effect exists regarding the arrival of information to different groups of investors. Hong and Stein’s (1999) gradual-information-diffusion theory seems the most likely explanation for price underreaction.
  • 详情 Firm Level Investment Bias of Foreign and Domestic Equity Markets: Which Firms are Invested?
    This study investigates attributes of local firms that determine investment biases using mutual funds holding data across 48 markets. Controlling for variations in market level environments, we find that firm characteristics related to transaction cost, corporate governance, information asymmetry and local familiarity create significant barriers to foreign investments. The extent to which information asymmetry and familiarity constrain investment allocation is more observable for foreign than for domestic investors, even in developed and liberalized markets. However, in emerging and restricted markets, variations in foreign investment bias are mainly driven by market level cross-border investment barriers. Overall, the well-documented “home bias” phenomenon may be a joint effect of both firm and market level investment barriers.
  • 详情 The Mean-Variance Model Revisited with a Cash Account
    Fund managers usually set aside certain amount of cash to pay for possible redemptions, and it is believed that this will affect overall fund performance. This paper examines the properties of efficient portfolios in the mean-variance framework in the presence of a cash account. We show that investors will retain part of funds in cash, as long as the required return is lower than the expected rerun on the portfolio corresponding to the point of intersection of the traditional efficient frontier and the straight line that passes through the minimum-variance portfolio and the origin in the mean-variance plane (portfolio q1 ). In addition, the efficient portfolios determined by our model are proportional to portfolio q1 , and are more efficient than traditional efficient portfolios. Using a simulation, we illustrate that 6% to 9% of total funds are to be retained in the cash account if no-short-selling constraint is imposed. Based on real data, our out-of-sample empirical results confirm the theoretical findings.
  • 详情 How and Why Do Firms Adjust Their Cash Holdings toward Targets? Evidence from China
    We examine the dynamic adjustment of cash holdings of publicly traded Chinese firms over the period 1998-2006. The empirical evidences are supportive of the dynamic trade-off theory of cash holdings. Importantly, there is strong evidence to support asymmetric adjustments. That is, the adjustments from above the target are significantly faster than adjustments from below. In addition, adjustment speeds are heterogeneous for firms facing differential adjustment costs. In particular, adjustment speed is negatively related to firm size, but positively related to the deviation from the target. Furthermore, in terms of adjustment method, Chinese listed firms make adjustments to their targets primarily through internal financing, while debt financing and dividend payment play a minimal role. Finally, we find that the precautionary motive arising from financial constraints explains the cash holdings adjustment behaviors of Chinese Listed firms well.
  • 详情 The Value of Social Capital as an Informal Institution: Evidence from Firms’ Debt Financing in China
    The paper studies the effect of social capital on the firms’ debt capacity and capital structure in China. We measure the social capital of China’s 31 provinces through four indexes: the number of NGOs per capita, the index of trust among peoples, the volunteer blood donation ratio of civics, and the money and material donation of civics. The results show that in those areas with more social capital, the firms are more likely to have higher debt ratio and longer debt maturity, and the firms can get debt financing with less tangible assets. And in those districts, the firms are easier to obtain bank credits and trade credits. The paper has two contributions to the economics literature: first, it confirms the economic value of social capital from a micro view; second, it provides a new perspective to understand the firms’ capital structure choice.
  • 详情 Efficiency of Multiunit Structure and Internal Capital Market
    Multiunit structure can internalize the managerial market to promote competition among subsidiary managers, and create an internal capital market within firms to alleviate external financing constrains, and it also may lead to diversification to lower the operation risk and regulation. While it brings in more agency problem created by subsidiary managers, causing the efficiency of internal capital market and diversification confusing. Using the data of listed firms in China, an emerging market, this paper examines the efficiency of multiunit structure within the firm, investigating the influence on capital allocation and firm performance. We find that multiunit structure is better in emerging market since it is efficient in capital allocation, reducing the inefficient investment by reducing the overinvestment and alleviating the underinvestment, and the bright side of multiunit structure dominates the agency problem associated, thus beneficial for firm performance, both short-term and long-term accounting returns. In less developed capital market under current situation, multiunit structure is better.
  • 详情 The Empirical Study on Long-run Performance of Initial Public Offerings issued in Small and Medium-sized Board in China
    The long-run underperformance of the initial public offerings is one of the three hot issues in IPO research area,until 2000,the scholars in China began to research it,hence,the related theory is far from absent,therefore,many theories need to be completed. The article studied the long-run performance of 174 shares issued in Small and Medium-sized Board from the day after the first trading day to three years.It found that the shares show underperformance since the first month after its going to public,which will continue to the second year.But the shares showed strong performance compared with the Shenzhen A-share Composite Index.