Rationality

  • 详情 Testing Euler Equation with Stock Market Data: A Heterogeneous Story
    Testing the household Euler equation with consumption data faces econometric challenges caused by large measurement errors in the data and a short time span. We adopt a framework to test the Euler equation with stock market data to alleviate the measurement error and short time span issues. Utilizing a data-driven group panel data method, we identify a heterogeneous pattern of Euler equation failure among different groups of listed firms. The identified degree of Euler equation failure is significantly related to firm characteristics that are associated with famous stock anomalies. We show that the correlations between the degree of Euler equation failure and firm characteristics provide a new set of stylized facts that can help us distinguish between different economic theories on Euler equation failures and asset pricing anomalies, and identify challenges facing current theories.
  • 详情 Fear and Fear Regulation of Chinese and Vietnamese Investors in the Extremely Volatile Markets: A Dataset
    Emotions are fundamental elements driving humans’ decision-making and information processing. Fear is one of the most common emotions influencing investors’ behaviors in the stock market. Although many studies have been conducted to explore the impacts of fear on investors’ investment performance and trading behaviors, little is known about factors contributing to and alleviating investors’ fear during the market crash (or extremely volatile periods) and their fear regulation after the crisis. Thus, the current data descriptor provides details of a dataset of 1526 Chinese and Vietnamese investors, a potential resource for researchers to fill in the gap. The dataset was designed and structured based on the information-processing perspective of the Mindsponge Theory and existing evidence in life sciences. The Bayesian Mindsponge Framework (BMF) analytics validated the data. Insights generated from the dataset are expected to help researchers expand the existing literature on behavioral finance and the psychology of fear, improve the investment effectiveness among investors, and inform policymakers on strategies to mitigate the negative impacts of market crashes on the stock market.
  • 详情 Research on the Effect of the Governance of Tax Incentives——Empirical Evidence Based on China's State Council Documents No. 62[2014] and No.25[2015]
    The disordered and rampant local tax incentives have interfered with regular business competition and resource allocation, and whether they have the rationality of existence has also become an urgent problem to be clarified. In China, the government has undertaken a new round of policy adjustment to comprehensively sort out and standardize tax incentives, trying to realign value-oriented tax competition among local governments. Thus, this paper examines the real effect of standardizing tax incentives using China's State Council documents Nos. 62[2014] and No. 25[2015], with the measurement of abnormal tax burdens and abnormal fiscal subsidies. The result shows that this round of policy governance has maintained the steadiness of the overall tax burden and fiscal subsidy, and only abnormal tax burdens and fiscal subsidies have been reduced through structural adjustment; In addition, it has also taken into account the difference among regional economic development. The governance in the Midwest is generally lighter than in the East. Meanwhile, the effect of governance among different property companies has presented a reduced tendency as "state-owned enterprises -- local state-owned enterprises -- private enterprises".
  • 详情 Asset Growth and Bond Performance: The Collateral Channel
    This study documents a pervasive inverse relationship between asset growth rates and bond performance among non-investment and low-investment grade bonds. We argue such inverse relation holds ex ante considering a high growth rate in firm total assets results in growth in tangible assets and lowers bond default probabilities. Our empirical finding supports this hypothesis. Tangible asset growth of poorly rated bonds is negatively associated with contemporaneous bond performance and expected default probability. The finding is robust to different economic conditions and investment sentiments.
  • 详情 Collective Monitoring and Investment Illiquidity in Private-Equity Buyouts
    This paper extends Lerner and Schoar’s (2004) argument on illiquidity puzzle of private equity funds. We examine the roles that investment illiquidity, along with bounded rationality and rent-seeking behavior, plays in private-equity buyouts. Collectively, investors employ club deals to screen out fund managers who might misuse discretionary rights to engage buyout deals. A club deal is launched by a group of private equity firms that pool their assets together, make a joint bid for a buyout target, and monitor the buyout processes collectively. Thus, this paper aims at clarifying whether or not such discretionary rights improve the choice of buyout target by, as well as the performance of private equity funds. We found that the performance of buyout funds persisted and affected the choice of the club deal as the major monitoring mechanism. This paper contributes to our understandings of investment behavior in private equity buyouts as follows. First, the performance of buyout funds has improved for at least two time periods between 1999 and mid-2007. The phenomenon that fund performance affects the choice of club deals is consistent across a variety of private equity funds, such as buyout, venture, growth, and mezzanine funds. Moreover, risk preference does not affect choice of club deals directly; instead, it has a moderating effect on choice of club deals through its interaction with the location of reference point for risk aversion. Finally, both fund size and fund sequence have U-shaped relations to the choice of club deals, while deal value of buyouts is related positively to the choice of club deals.
  • 详情 Market Segmentation and Price Differentials between A Shares and H Shares in the Chinese S
    In this article we offer an explanation for price differentials between A and H shares based on the conventional asset pricing theory. We find that the risk premiums associated with the Hong Kong and Mainland Chinese Markets in a two-factor model successfully explain the cross section of returns on the A and H shares. We show that discounts on H shares relative to A shares are highly related to the contemporaneous discounts of H-share local market index relative to A-share local market index, as well as the spread of Hong Kong savings interest rate to Mainland China. The evidence suggests that the risk premiums associated with the segmented A- and H-share markets exert crucial impacts on the price differentials between the two classes of shares. The results thereby indicate that the movements of price discounts of H shares owned by non-Mainland investors in the Chinese stock markets is in accord with the rationality of Chinese investors.