information

  • 详情 Investor Risk Concern and Insider Opportunistic Sales
    This paper extracts investor risk concern from the text of investormanagement communications and examines their impact on insider opportunistic sales. Utilizing data from listed companies holding online earnings communication conferences (OECCs) in China from 2007 to 2022, we find that heightened investor risk concern significantly curbs insider opportunistic sales, as manifested by reduced frequency and magnitude of such transactions. This governance effect of investor risk concern persists irrespective of motivation strength behind opportunistic sales. Further analysis reveals that the governance effect intensifies when investors exhibit superior information processing capabilities and when management’s risk statements better align with investor expectations. Notably, while mitigating opportunistic sales, elevated investor risk concern also significantly decreases the firm’s cost of equity capital. Our findings underscore the importance of fostering transparent and engaging investor-management communication in promoting effective corporate governance and mitigating insider misconduct.
  • 详情 Multiscale Spillovers and Herding Effects in the Chinese Stock Market: Evidence from High Frequency Data
    Based on 5-minute high-frequency trading data, we examine the time-varying causal relationship between herding behavior and multiscale spillovers (return, volatility, skewness, and kurtosis) in the Chinese stock market. We employ the novel time-varying Granger causality test proposed by Shi et al. (2018), which is based on the recursive evolving algorithm developed by Phillips et al. (2015a, 2015b), to identify real-time causal relationships and capture possible changes in the causal direction. Our findings reveal a strong relationship between herding and spillover effects, particularly with odd-moment (return and skewness) spillovers. For most of the study period, a bidirectional causal relationship was found between herding and odd-moment spillovers. These results imply that herding behavior is a key driver of spillover effects, especially return and skewness spillovers, which are primarily transmitted through the information channel. By contrast, volatility and kurtosis spillovers are more strongly driven by real and financial linkages. Furthermore, spillover effects also affect herding behavior, highlighting the intricate feedback loop between investor behavior and risk transmission.
  • 详情 Venue Participation and Transaction Cost: Evidence from All-to-all China Government Bonds Market
    This paper examines bond trading activity and transaction cost differences between the bilateral Over-the-Counter (OTC) and the centralized Central Limit Order Book (CLOB) venues in the China interbank government bonds market, structured as all-to-all. Using a novel trade-level dataset, we estimate that CLOB reduces transaction costs by 0.66 basis points compared to OTC, highlighting the efficiency of its centralized trading mechanism. Furthermore, our analysis of cross-venue selection patterns reveals that the CLOB venue disproportionately facilitates core traders, orders with standardized sizes and settlement speeds, and newly issued bond trades. Despite CLOB’s cost advantages, the continued use of OTC is justified by its unique benefits, including mitigating information leakage, enabling designated counterparties, and facilitating position rebalancing. These findings offer insights into how market microstructure and trading mechanism affect asset liquidity.
  • 详情 Can Short Selling Reduce Corporate Bond Financing Costs? —An Empirical Study of Chinese Listed Companies
    This research examines the impact of short selling on the financing cost of corporate bonds using panel data from Chinese A-share listed companies spanning the period from 2007 to 2022. The study aims to investigate the potential cross-market information spillover effects within the short selling system. The findings indicate that short selling significantly reduces the financing cost of corporate bonds, with a more pronounced effect observed under greater short selling forces. The robustness of the results is confirmed by controlling for various potential influencing factors and addressing the endogeneity issue through Propensity Score Matched Difference in Differences (PSM-DID) methodology. Moreover, the research reveals that the alleviation of information asymmetry serves as the primary mechanism through which short selling exerts its impact, particularly in regions with well-developed financial markets and favorable legal environments. This study offersa novel perspective of short selling in China and it sheds light on its cross-market spillover effects. By effectively enhancing resource allocation efficiency in capital markets, short selling emerges as a potent tool for mitigating information disparities between bond investors and enterprises.
  • 详情 Peer Md&A Risk Disclosure and Analysts’ Earnings Forecast Accuracy: Evidence from China
    In this study, we investigate whether and how risk disclosure in peer firms’ management discussion and analysis (MD&A) influences analyst earnings forecast accuracy. We find that peer MD&A risk disclosure significantly improves forecast accuracy, demonstrating a positive spillover effect. Moreover, the impact of peer MD&A risk disclosure on analysts’ forecast accuracy strengthens with the comparability and reliability of peer firms’ information, while weakens with the disclosure quality of the focal firm. Finally, peer MD&A risk disclosure also reduces stock price crash risk, providing further evidence that it improves information environment of the focal firm.
  • 详情 Beyond Financial Statements: Does Operational Information Disclosure Mitigate Crash Risk?
    Previous studies on the impact of corporate information disclosure on stock price crash risk have largely focused on financial statements. In contrast, China’s unique monthly operating report disclosure system—featuring high frequency and realtime operational data—offers a distinct information channel. Using data from A-share listed firms from 2010 to 2021, we find that monthly operating report disclosures significantly reduce stock price crash risk by alleviating information asymmetry between firms and external stakeholders. The underlying mechanisms involve restraining managerial opportunism and correcting investor expectation biases. Further analysis shows that firms’ official responses to investor inquiries has no significant effect on crash risk once monthly operational disclosures are accounted for, underscoring that the quality of information disclosed is as important as its frequency. The risk-reducing effect is more pronounced among firms with greater business complexity, weaker internal controls, and lower institutional ownership.
  • 详情 The Local Influence of Fund Management Company Shareholders on Fund Investment Decisions and Performance
    This paper investigates how the geographical distribution of shareholders in Chinese mutual fund management companies influences investment decisions. We show that mutual funds are more inclined to hold and overweight stocks from regions where their shareholders are located, thus capitalizing on a local information advantage. By examining changes in fund holdings in response to shifts in the shareholder base, we rule out the possibility that these effects are driven by fund managers’ local biases. Our findings reveal that stocks from the same region as the fund’s shareholders tend to outperform and significantly contribute to the fund’s overall performance.
  • 详情 Modeling Investor Attention with News Hypergraphs
    We introduce a hypergraph-based approach to analyze information flow and investor attention transfers through news outlets in financial markets. Extending traditional graph models that focus on pairwise interactions, our hypergraph framework captures higher order relationships between firms that are simultaneously mentioned in the same news article. We develop a random walk based centrality framework that considers both the properties of the hyperedges (news articles) and the nodes (firms). This framework allows us to more accurately simulate investor attention flows and to incorporate different theories of investor behavior, such as category learning and investor attention theory. To demonstrate the effectiveness of our attention centrality, we apply it to the Chinese CSI500 market index from 2016 to 2021, where our centrality measures improve the prediction of future returns, with improvements ranging from 6.3% to 14.0% compared to traditional graph-based models. This improvement implies that our centrality measure can better capture investor attention transfers on the news hypergraph. In particular, we find that investors pay more attention to news that covers both a greater number of firms and firms on which the sentiments are more negative. Although we focus on financial markets in this research, our hypergraph framework holds potential for broader applications in information systems — for example, in understanding social or collaboration networks.
  • 详情 Environmental Legal Institutions and Management Earnings Forecasts: Evidence from the Establishment of Environmental Courts in China
    This paper investigates whether and how managers of highly polluting firms adjust their earnings forecast behaviors in response to the introduction of environmental legal institutions. Using the establishment of environmental courts in China as a quasi-natural experiment, our triple difference-in-differences (DID) estimation shows that environmental courts significantly increase the likelihood of management earnings forecasts for highly polluting firms compared to non-highly polluting firms. This association becomes more pronounced for firms with stronger monitoring power, higher environmental litigation risk, and greater earnings uncertainty. Additionally, we show that highly polluting firms improve the precision and accuracy of earnings forecasts following the establishment of environmental courts. Furthermore, we provide evidence that our results do not support the opportunistic perspective that managers strategically issue more positive earnings forecasts to inflate stakeholders‘ expectations subsequent to the implementation of environmental courts. Overall, our research indicates that environmental legal institutions make firms with greater environmental concerns to provide more forward-looking information, thereby alleviating stakeholders’ apprehensions regarding future profitability prospects.
  • 详情 Does Uncertainty Matter in Stock Liquidity? Evidence from the Covid-19 Pandemic
    This paper utilizes the COVID-19 pandemic as an exogenous shock to investor uncertainty and examines the effect of uncertainty on stock liquidity. Analyzing data from Chinese listed firms, we find that stock liquidity dries up significantly in response to an increase in uncertainty resulting from regional pandemic exposure. The underlying reason for the decline in stock liquidity during the pandemic is a combination of earnings and information uncertainty. Funding constraints, market panic, risk aversion, inattention rationales, and macroeconomics factors are considered in our study. Our findings corroborate the substantial impact of uncertainty on market efficiency, and also add to the discussions on the pandemic effect on financial markets.