Japan

  • 详情 Institutional Innovation of China's Wealth Market Regulation
    The development of the wealth management market is based on the needs of investors. The logic of market regulation should also be based on the interests of investors. On the basis of summarizing the regulatory experience of the global wealth management market, suggestions are put forward to improve the system of China's wealth management market . The fundamental driving force for the establishment of a regulatory legal system for the wealth management market comes from the needs of the development of the wealth management market. Moreover, the structure and process of this institutional construction are also closely related to the structure and development of market demand. China's current wealth management market has become a huge financial sector, and the deepening of the market and the diversification of participants all put forward requirements for the construction of a fair and scientific regulatory system. Wealth management business is different from traditional financial business in many aspects such as function, business standard and business model, and its basic legal relationship is also far from traditional business. The commonality of business in China's current wealth management market is in line with the basic elements of the legal relationship of trust. From the perspective of the realistic basis and the nature of the industry, it is appropriate to define the basic legal nature of wealth management business as a trust relationship. Due to factors such as information asymmetry and economic scale, financial investors are in a serious imbalance and imbalance when they trade with financial institutions. Therefore, the financial supervision system should grasp this core contradiction, give investors the status of consumer protection, and establish the concept of protecting wealth consumers. The regulation of wealth management operators should grasp the requirements of the basic trust relationship, take the basic principle of supervising the performance of trustee duties by financial management institutions, and implement a series of rules for trustees to be loyal and prudent in financial management. These rules should focus on risk prevention, and include establishment of access standards for wealth management business, supervision of independent development of wealth management business, supervision of full performance of prudent management duties by wealth management institutions, and guidance for healthy development of wealth management institutions. The experience in the supervision of developed wealth management markets such as the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan, and Singapore shows that the establishment of a legal system for the protection of wealth management consumers is an inevitable result of the development of the financial market, and it is necessary to set up special institutions and mechanisms to implement the concept of wealth management investor protection, and emphasize wealth management products. Providers' fiduciary obligations to investors, and functional supervision based on a unified system in the regulatory system can be used as a reference for China . China's wealth management market regulatory system include inconsistent rules, weak protection, biased guidance, and lack of independence. Due to the separate regulatory system, different game rules apply to homogeneous wealth management business operated by different types of financial institutions, resulting in rule conflicts and market injustice. However, the substantive rights of wealth management investors still exist in a vacuum that cannot be confirmed. At the same time, the status of consumers is far from being officially confirmed, and the consumer protection mechanism cannot truly achieve justice. As regulatory guidance still favors the concept and tools of supervising traditional businesses, wealth management institutions mainly expand extensively by selling products, and wealth management products also present serious "bond-like" characteristics. The "non-neutral " positioning of financial regulatory agencies has externalized into phenomena such as rule conflicts, "policy following suit" and "excessive maintenance of stability". Constructing and continuously improving China's wealth management market supervision system is: the purpose of supervision is to restore the effective operation of the market mechanism. The basic legal relationship in China's wealth management market should be recognized as a trust relationship. This is not only an essential requirement of the wealth management market, but also a practical need to integrate regulatory chaos. It is the trend of financial and economic development that the regulatory system positions the position of wealth management consumers. It should start with legislative policies, make key breakthroughs around consumers' substantive rights and protection mechanisms, and gradually improve investor protection mechanisms. The regulatory system should focus on supervising financial institutions to fulfill their fiduciary obligations, and establish sound access rules, business independence rules, prudent management rules, and strict market exit mechanisms. China's wealth management market supervision system should be based on unified legislation and gradually implement functional supervision in order to achieve effective management and harmonious development of the wealth management market.
  • 详情 COVID-19, ‘Meteor Showers’ and the Dependence Structure Among Major Developed and Emerging Stock Markets
    This paper investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the volatility spillover and dependence structure among the major developed and emerging stock markets. The TVP-VAR connectedness decomposition approach and R-vine copula are implemented in this research. The results of the TVP-VAR connectedness decomposition approach reveal that the volatility spillover among the major developed and emerging stock markets has been significantly strengthened by the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, although it has gradually faded over time. In addition, during the pandemic, the UK, German, French and Canadian stock markets are the spillover transmitters, while the Japanese, Chinese Hong Kong, Chinese and Indian stock markets are the receivers. It is also found that the US and Brazilian stock markets have undergone role shifts after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. The results of the R-vine copula model indicate that during the pandemic, the Canadian, French, and Chinese Hong Kong stock markets are the most important financial centre in the American, European, and Asian stock markets, respectively. Furthermore, the effect of the extreme risk contagion has been strengthened by the pandemic, particularly the downside risk contagion.
  • 详情 Why Women Work the Way They Do in Japan: Roles of Fiscal Policies
    Women work less often and earn significantly less than men in Japan. We use panel data to investigate employment and earnings dynamics of single and married women over the life-cycle and build a structural model to study roles of fiscal policies in accounting for their behavior. We show that eliminating spousal deductions, social insurance tax exemptions and survivors’ pension benefits for low-income spouses would significantly raise labor supply of women and their earnings. More women would choose regular jobs rather than contingent jobs, accumulate more human capital and enjoy higher income growth. The government would earn higher net revenues and there is a welfare gain when additional taxes are transferred back.
  • 详情 Should We Fear an Adverse Collateral Effect on Investment in China?
    Working with unique data on land values in 35 major Chinese markets and a panel of firms outside the real estate industry, we estimate standard investment equations that yield no evidence of a collateral channel effect. This is markedly different from previous work on the United States and Japan which finds economically large impacts. One reason for this appears to be that some of the most dominant firms in China are state-owned enterprises (SOEs) which are unconstrained in the sense that they do not need to rely on rising underlying property collateral values to obtain all the financing necessary to carry out their desired investment programs. However, we also find no collateral channel effect for non-SOEs when we perform our analysis on disaggregated sets of firms. Norms and regulation in the Chinese capital markets and banking sector can account for why there is no collateral channel effect operating among these firms. We caution that our results do not mean that there will be no negative fallout from a potential real estate bust on the Chinese economy. There are good reasons to believe there would be, just not through a collateral channel effect.
  • 详情 人民币国际化和人民币国际货币化之辨
    随着跨境贸易人民币结算试点工作扩大至全国范围,学术界对“人民币国际化”问题的讨论也日趋热烈。但值得注意的是,众多的意见和观点并未对货币的“国际化”与“国际货币化”这两个不同的概念加以区别。本文通过对国际货币所应具有的六项职能的分析,指出了货币的“国际化”与“国际货币化”这两者的差异,并且通过对日本政府的所谓“日元国际化”相关一系列文件以及日元朝向国际货币发展历程的回顾和分析,指出目前日元国际货币化的挫折,很大程度上是日本政府长期模糊“货币国际化”与“国际货币化”这两者概念、消极应对日元发展成为国际货币的结果。最后,本文根据中日两国当前金融及货币、资本市场政策的比较,指出人民币今后将长期处于提高其国际影响力——即“国际化”的阶段,并据此提出了人民币“国际化”和“国际货币化”这两个不同进程的目标设想。 with the development of the strategy of “Going Global” with Renminbi, the relative research in academe is becoming more and more. However, in many views and papers, the concepts of “currency internationalization” and “becoming an international currency” are not distinguished from each other. This paper indicates the difference between them by an analysis on 6 functions of the “international currency”. Then, by the reviews of Japanese government’s documents about so-called “internationalization of Japanese Yen” and the Japanese Yen’s process of becoming an international currency, this article argues that the present frustration that Japanese Yen becomes an international currency is the consequence of the former Japanese government’s long-term resistances by casting a mist on it’s definitions of “currency internationalization” and “becoming an international currency”. Finally, based on a comparison of China’s financial, monetary and capital market’s policies with Japan’s , this paper indicates that Renminbi will be in a long-term stage of “currency internationalization”, namely, in the stage of increasing international influence, and concisely brings forward a line of internationalization and becoming an international currency for Renminbi.
  • 详情 Volatility Spillovers from the Chinese Stock Market to Economic Neighbours
    This paper examines whether there is evidence of spillovers of volatility from the Chinese stock market to its neighbours and trading partners, including Australia, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan and USA. China's increasing integration into the global market may have important consequences for investors in related markets. In order to capture these potential eects, we explore these issues using an Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) return equation. A univariate GARCH model is then adopted to test for the persistence of volatility in stock market returns, as represented by stock market indices. Finally, univariate GARCH, multivariate VARMA-GARCH, and multivariate VARMA-AGARCH models are used to test for constant conditional correlations and volatility spillover eects across these markets. Each model is used to calculate the conditional volatility between both the Shenzhen and Shanghai Chinese markets and several other markets around the Pacic Basin Area, including Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, Taiwan and Singapore, during four distinct periods, beginning 27 August 1991 and ending 17 November 2010. The empirical results show some evidence of volatility spillovers across these markets in the pre-GFC periods, but there is little evidence of spillover eects from China to related markets during the GFC. This is presumably because the GFC was initially a US phenomenon, before spreading to developed markets around the globe, so that it was not a Chinese phenomenon.
  • 详情 Dynamic Stock Market Integration and Financial Crisis: the Case of China, Japan, and Korea
    This study examines the relationships between three Northeast Asian stock markets of China, Japan, and Korea during the period between January 1, 2000 and September 30, 2010, with particular attention placed on the global financial crisis period. The findings of this study are as follows. Firstly, China is influenced more by regional markets rather than the global market. On the other hand, Japan is influenced more by the global market rather than regional markets. Korea has the most balanced level of integration between the regional and global markets. Secondly, a portfolio created through an integrated market in the region would result in a significant decline in the unsystematic risk of each country, benefiting both the investor and local economies. Thirdly, the recent global financial crisis has caused a shift in the pattern of integration in the region. All three countries show a higher level of integration with the global market after the financial crisis. Finally, for China, the global market risk has become even greater than the domestic unsystematic risk since 2010. Overall result suggests that the degree of integration among countries tends to change over time, especially around periods marked by financial crisis and there is a diversification benefit of integrated regional market.
  • 详情 Do Imports Crowd Out Domestic Consumption?A Comparative Study of China, Japan and Korea
    A decline in the relative price of imported goods compared to that of domestically produced goods may have different effects on domestic consumption. Such effects may not be accurately detected and measured in a classical permanent-income model without considering consumption habit formation as pointed out by Nishiyama (2005). To resolve this problem, this paper employs an extended permanent-income model which encompasses consumption habit formation. Both cointegration analysis and GMM are used to estimate the (modified) intratemporal elasticities of substitution (AES) between imports and domestic consumption and the parameters of habit formation as well as the (modified) intertemporal elasticities of substitution (IES). We find that import and domestic consumptions are complements in China, but substitutes in Japan and Korea. Different per capita incomes and consumer behaviors between China and the other two countries are two possible reasons for different relationships between import and domestic consumptions. The research findings have important implications on policies such as exchange rate adjustments in China. (2011中国金融国际年会博士论文征文)
  • 详情 Ownership Structure, Corporate Governance and Income Smoothing in China
    This study aims to examine empirically whether ownership structure and corporate governance mechanisms affect income-smoothing behavior in China. The sample comprises 1353 companies listed in the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Market during the period 1999 to 2006. By comparing the variability of income to the variability of sales an income smoother can be identified if income is less variable. Our empirical results show that the proportion of Chinese firms practicing income-smoothing is greater than those of Singaporean, Japanese and U.S. firms. Income smoothing in China is more severe when the state is the controlling shareholder of the listed firm. Firms with more independent directors are more likely to engage in income smoothing. This article presents the current development of China’s corporate governance system and indicates that agency conflicts between controlling shareholders and minor investors account for a significant portion of earnings management in China.
  • 详情 A Quantitative Assessment of Real and Financial Integration in China- Markov Switching Approach
    In this paper we use the new developed Markov Switching Unit Root test to examine the status of real and financial integration of China, Japan, the European Union, and the United States based on the empirical validity of real interest parity, uncovered interest parity, and relative purchasing power parity. We found strong evidence in favour of those parity conditions and hence concluded that real and financial integration between China and other four countries was well established.