Tariff announcements

  • 详情 Tariff News and RMB-Relative Repricing: Beyond the Yen Benchmark
    I distinguish renminbi movements against the dollar from renminbi-relative repricing around U.S. tariff announcements. Across 26 policy groups, offshore renminbi (CNH) minus a fixed four-currency basket averages 35.077 aligned log basis points. Official reference rates corroborate the relative pattern; pre-event factor adjustment leaves a positive pooled own-CNH residual. Earlier disclosures change the later-period own-CNH sign, while early-to-late attenuation persists. Own-currency event-minus-lead contrasts remain imprecise, and macro-news and dependence screens weaken precision. The evidence supports an RMB-relative association, not a uniformly timed causal depreciation response or verified executable offshore prices.