详情
Profiting from Government Stakes in a Command Economy: Evidence from Chinese Asset Sales
We document the market response to an unexpected announcement of proposed sales of
government-owned shares in China. In contrast to the “privatization premium” found in earlier
work, we find a negative effect of government ownership on returns at the announcement date
and a symmetric positive effect in response to the announced cancellation of the government
sell-off. We argue that this results from the absence of a Chinese political transition to
accompany economic reforms, so that the positive effects on profits of political ties through
government ownership outweigh the potential efficiency costs of government shareholdings.
Companies with former government officials in management have positive abnormal returns,
suggesting that personal ties can substitute for the benefits of government ownership. In both
cases, we may rule out explanations based on a supply effect of the share sales. We further find
that the “privatization discount” is higher for firms located in Special Economic Zones, where
local government discretionary authority is highest, And that companies with relatively high
welfare payments to employees, which presumably would fall with privatization, benefit
disproportionately from the privatization announcement.