renewable energy

  • 详情 Capacity Allocation of Pumped Hydro Storage Under Marketization Process: A Transitional Strategy
    To address the challenges posed by renewable energy integration in power systems, China is advancing the development of Pumped Hydro Storage (PHS). However, the rapid growth of PHS installations, coupled with strict regulations and a high reliance on capacity compensation, has led to increasing financial burdens on other utilities. One solution is to reallocate the capacity compensation through market-based approaches to implement the “beneficiary-pays” principle. To achieve this goal, an operational policy named ’partial-regulated dispatch’ is proposed in this study. The analysis of this policy encompasses two crucial dimensions: the dispatch mechanism and business models. The dispatch mechanism evaluates PHS’s capacity contribution to grid stability, while the business models focus on enhancing PHS profitability to reduce dependency on capacity compensation while ensuring long-term economic sustainability. Furthermore, the flexibility of PHS is introduced as a criterion for assessing system security contributions, considering both individual unit vibration characteristics and multi-unit commitment strategies. The case study shows that through partial-regulated dispatch, PHS can reduce its reliance on capacity compensation by nearly 50% while ensuring its regulation service via flexibility compensation. This policy effectively balances economic viability with system support capabilities. Moreover, flexibility compensation provides PHS operators with a risk mitigation strategy in the complex power market environment. Under an appropriate operational strategy and policy incentives, the flexibility can be enhanced by nearly 30% in a fully marketized scenario, contributing to both system stability and operational efficiency.
  • 详情 Decision Modeling for Coal-Fired Units' Capacity Trading Considering Environmental Costs in China
    The high-penetration integration of renewable energy requires huge demand for reliable capacity resources, and the coal-fired units are the main providers of the reliable capacity in China. This study proposes a future-oriented approach to facilitate coal-fired power’ transition through capacity market development. Focusing on China’s power market reform context, we propose a two-stage capacity market mechanism integrating annual capacity auctions and monthly capacity bidding, and design the procedural and transactional framework for coal-fired power participation. We further outline three market strategies including energy market trading, centralized capacity market trading, and renewable energy alliance leasing. Environmental costs are incorporated to construct revenue models and derive boundary conditions for coal-fired units’ decision-making. Research results reveal that current capacity prices fail to cover costs, requiring substantial market-driven price increases to achieve profitability. While stable capacity revenue can reduce medium-to-long-term and spot market prices, fostering competition between coal-fired power and renewable energy resources. However, coal-fired power remains highly sensitive to price volatility, demanding robust resilience to fluctuations. Carbon prices significantly influence capacity prices, yet excessive free carbon quota allocations weaken carbon price transmission effects, necessitating optimized quota ratios to enhance market responsiveness. Finally, policy implications are proposed according to the research results.
  • 详情 Conversion to Green Energy in China: Perspectives and Environmental Law
    This study was conducted to understand better how rules influence China's energy performance; this research on these policies' efficacy that facilitating the transition to sustainable energy sources is of tremendous significance, particularly in light of the severe problems climate change poses. To determine whether or not strict regulations are beneficial to China's energy transition efforts, this research makes use of a substantial amount of data about China's environmental laws and environmental transition policies. This paper thoroughly analyses the impact of strict environmental regulations on various energy transition measures. These metrics include the availability of green energy, carbon emissions, and energy efficiency. The results provide insights into how environmental restrictions have affected China's transition to a different energy source. Policymakers and stakeholders may use this information to build efficient plans to expedite the transition to a low-carbon, renewable energy system in China and abroad.
  • 详情 Bounded Rational Bidding Strategy of Genco in Electricity Spot Market Based on Prospect Theory and Distributional Reinforcement Learning
    With the increasing penetration of renewable energy (RE) in power systems, the electricity spot market has become increasingly uncertain, presenting significant challenges for generation companies (GenCos) in formulating effective bidding strategies. Most existing studies assume that GenCos act as perfectly rational decision makers, overlooking the impact of irrational bidding behaviors in uncertain market environments. To address this limitation, we incorporate prospect theory to model the decision-making process of bounded rational GenCos operating under risk. A bilevel stochastic model is developed to simulate strategic bidding in the spot market. In addition, a distributional re-inforcement learning algorithm is proposed to tackle the decision-making challenges faced by bounded rational GenCos with risk considerations. The proposed model and algorithm are validated through simulations using a 27-bus system from a region in eastern China. The results demonstrate that the algorithm effectively captures market uncertainties and learns the distribution of GenCo’s profits. Furthermore, simulated bidding strategies for various types of GenCos highlight the applicability of prospect theory to describe bounded rational decision-making behavior in electricity markets.
  • 详情 Does Excessive Green Financing Benefit the Development of Renewable Energy Capacities and Environmental Quality? Evidence From Chinese Provinces
    Fighting global warming has become a vital requirement for environmental sustainability. Green finance has gained popularity as a promising mechanism for transitioning to a lowcarbon economy. Thus, this paper investigates whether excess green financing increases renewable energy capacities and enhances environmental quality from 1992Q1 to 2020Q4 in China, one of the major CO2 emitters. We primarily used the method of moments-quantile regression with fixed-effect models. First, we found nonlinear U-shaped impacts of green finance on wind power capacities in all Chinese regions, thermal power capacities in the Western and Central areas, and hydropower capacities in Eastern China, respectively. Second, we confirmed an inverted U-shaped impact of green finance on CO2 emissions in the Eastern region but U-shaped effects in the Western and Central regions. The impacts of green finance were asymmetrical due to the heterogeneous distributions of renewable energy sources and environmental quality within and between regions. Green finance mostly improved environmental quality when certain conditions and thresholds were met. Third, green finance had substantial marginal effects on environmental quality in the least polluted provinces (Q.20) in Western China and the most polluted provinces (Q.80) in Eastern China. Finally, there were heterogeneous effects of oil prices, urbanization, foreign direct investments, and trade openness on renewable energy consumption and environmental quality across Chinese provinces. Accordingly, this study provides some policy recommendations for China’s sustainable development, a key example from which the international community can adjust its green policies.
  • 详情 The Impact of Chinese Climate Risks on Renewable Energy Stocks: A Perspective Based on Nonlinear and Moderation Effects
    China’s energy stocks are confronted with significant climate-related challenges. This paper aims to measure the daily climate transition risk in China by assessing the intensity of climate policies. The daily climate physical risk encountered by China’s renewable energy stocks is also measured based on the perspective of temperature change. Then, the partial linear function coefficient model is adopted to empirically investigate the non-linear impacts of climate transition risk and climate physical risk on the return and volatility of renewable energy stocks. The nonlinear moderating effect of climate transition risk is also involved. It is found that: (1) Between 2017 and 2022, the climate transition risk in China exhibited a persistent upward trend, while the climate policies during this period particularly emphasized energy conservation, atmospheric improvements, and carbon emissions reduction. Additionally, the climate physical risk level demonstrated a pattern consistent with a normal distribution. (2) There is a U-shaped nonlinear impact of climate physical risk on the return and volatility of renewable energy stocks. High climate physical risk could not only increase the return of renewable energy stocks but also lead to stock market volatility. (3) Climate transition risk exhibits a U-shaped effect on the return of renewable energy stocks, alongside an inverted U-shaped effect on their volatility. Notably, a high level of climate transition risk not only increases the return of renewable energy stocks but also serves to stabilize the renewable energy stock market. Moreover, the heightened risk associated with climate transition enhances the negative impact of oil price volatility on the yield of renewable energy stocks and, concurrently, leads to an increase in volatility.The strength of this moderating effect is directly correlated with the level of climate risk.
  • 详情 Extrapolative Beliefs and Financial Decisions: Causal Evidence from Renewable Energy Financing
    How do expectation biases causally affect households’ financial decisions? We exploit a unique setting and study the repayment decision in solar loans, in which households borrow to purchase and install solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. Electricity production – the benefit that solar panels generate – primarily depends on sunshine duration. This creates exogenous within-person across-period variation in recent signals that borrowers observe and thereby expectations of future electricity production. We find that a one-standard-deviation decrease in sunshine duration in the week right before the repayment date leads to a 20.8% increase of delinquency, even though deviated past sunshine duration does not predict that in the future. Survey evidence shows that agents make more positive forecasts of future electricity production after experiencing longer sunshine duration in the past week. We examine a battery of alternative explanations and rule out mechanisms based on liquidity constraints and wealth effects.