• 详情 Performance and Characteristics of Acquiring Firms in the Chinese Stock Markets
    We investigate the performance and characteristics of acquiring firms on 1148 M&A on the two Chinese stock markets from 1998 to 2003. Using the market model, the CAPM model and the buy-and-hold methods, we find significantly positive abnormal returns before (6 months) and upon M&A announcements, while the long-run abnormal returns (6 months) after M&A are insignificant. Within our sample, cash is the dominant payment method and the competition during M&A is low. The cross-sectional analysis on acquirers' market performance upon announcements shows that the political advantages of acquiring firms have a significantly positive impact on the acquirers' performance, while the economic advantages do not. Cross-provincial M&A and better corporate governance create value to acquiring firms. Finally, cash payment impacts positively and regulation development impacts negatively the performance of acquiring firms during M&A.
  • 详情 Determinants of Financial Distress of ST and PT Companies: A Panel Analysis of Chinese Listed Companies
    Many prior studies have been devoted to financial distress of Chinese listed companies over the last two decades. However, these distressed companies are still failed to find out the exact determinants of financial distress. Therefore, the purposes of this paper are to provide an investigation of financial distressed companies trading on Chinese Stock Exchanges, and to elaborate the determinants of falling into financial distress by using a panel data set containing information on the stock market under Binary Logit Model during the period 1998-2005. The empirical findings present the relationship between 13 independent variables and the probability of financial distress, and particularly analyze the impact of corporate governance on Chinese financial distressed companies. Of these corporate governance variables, agency costs and ownership structure appear to be important factors to affect the probability of financial distress.
  • 详情 The Impact of Corruption on State Asset Sales - Evidence from China
    We document the under-pricing of state asset sales in China. Because these stakes were in partially privatized firms, there is a credible benchmark - the price of publicly traded shares - to measure the extent of under-pricing. On average, we find that blocks of government shares sell at a discount of more than 70 percent relative to tradable shares. Further, sellers that conceal their state ownership status (likely in order to elude regulatory scrutiny) sell at a further 5 percentage point discount. The impact on subsequent performance is negative - both profitability and investment fall after transfers. We also document patterns in the data consistent with increased tunneling after asset sales.
  • 详情 Agency Costs of Government Ownership: A Study of Voluntary Audit Committee Formation in China
    In this paper, we investigate the agency costs of government ownership and their impact on corporate governance and firm value. China is used as a laboratory because of the prevalent state shareholdings in exchange-listed firms. In this context, we specifically consider the trade-offs involved in the voluntary formation of an audit committee when the controlling shareholder is the state. The decision to improve corporate governance (in this case, introduce an audit committee) is shown to be value relevant and a function of existing agency relationships and non-trivial implementation costs. Our findings are robust to the level of pyramid groups, the ownership-control wedge, and financial leverage. The research adds to the debate regarding the effect of government shareholdings on corporate culture and performance - a topic that has taken on renewed importance in recent times.
  • 详情 Financing New Ventures in China - Regulatory Changes and Implications for Foreign Investors
    Following the economic theory of venture capital financing, a corporate governance framework would be economically efficient for VC investments if it can help to reduce the agency costs resulted from information and incentive problems. As a highly successful model in global VC industry, the standard VC investment contracts in the Silicon Valley practice largely embody such framework. By analyzing the currently effective laws and regulations of China that are relevant to the investments by foreign venture capitalists, this paper paints a practical picture of how can foreign VC investors do business in China. It is shown that, the recent (starting from 2005) outflow of a set of new legal norms can be seen as a dividing point for the VC investing practice in China – the previously prevalent mode “offshore structuring, offshore listing” is challenged, and both the investment and exit are gradually pulled onshore. This being said, the current Chinese laws and institutions still cannot fully entertain the contracting and governance model prevalent in the Silicon Valley VC investment practices, and in this light, this paper goes on to discuss, in particular, various strategies that may be availed by foreign VC firms to tap and/or subvert the Chinese laws and regulations when financing Chinese new ventures. Finally, under the theme of globalization and crossborder corporate governance convergence, this paper provides a general comment on the currently applicable Chinese legal framework, and stresses the importance of converging towards efficient legal rules through contracts in the global competitive village.
  • 详情 现金—现金流敏感性能检验融资约束假说吗——基于我国制造行业的实证研究
    从融资约束的角度来研究公司的现金持有行为是当前公司财务学的的重要课题之一。本文根据Almeida et al(2004)提出的现金-现金流敏感性模型,从资产规模、股利支付和控制权性质三个融资约束分组标准角度研究了我国上市公司的现金持有行为。结论表明,融资受约束和不受约束的公司的现金-现金流敏感性都显著为正,没有表现出明显的差异。特别的,国有企业与民营企业的现金-现金流敏感性都非常的正显著,都面临严重的融资约束问题。一方面由于目前我国资本市场的发展仍不够完善,大多数公司仍面临严重的融资约束;另一方面可能说明我国上市公司普遍存在滥用“自由现金流”的现象。因此本文的结论不能有效的支持融资约束影响了我国上市公司现金持有这一假说,现金-现金流敏感性模型并不能有效区分融资约束与非融资约束公司,其作为检验我国上市公司融资约束假说并不合适。
  • 详情 放松管制、外资银行进入与我国银行业存贷款市场结构
    我国银行业的改革选择了一条渐进式道路,伴随放松管制和外资银行进入,银行业市场结构不断演进。相关的实证研究由于未能充分识别我国特殊的约束条件及实证方法的缺陷,难以令人满意,但研究市场结构却是评价运行效率和政策效果的基础。本文采用实证经济学中最前沿的结构模型,利用我国30 个省级宏观数据分别对存贷款市场结构进行实证检验。结果表明:(1)存贷款市场均为垄断竞争的市场结构,贷款市场的竞争高于存款市场,且均未达到古诺均衡状态;(2)对存款利率的严格管制使得存款市场的竞争没有变化,而基准利率浮动机制的实施却导致了贷款市场的竞争有所提高。 (3)贷款市场比存款市场更有效率,且存在规模经济。
  • 详情 银行非自愿超额准备金周期性波动与货币政策的有效性
    文章采用非自愿超额准备金率增长率作为流动性状态的衡量指标,通过建立超额准备金的动态模型,运用动态模拟方法和门限向量自回归模型,考察了非自愿超额准备金率增长率周期性波动情况和不同流动性状态下货币政策的传导效应。研究表明,自 1998 年以来,在外汇占款、银行业贷款以及贷款利率的综合作用下,流动性状态发生了过剩与短缺之间的周期性交替转换,并且流动性过剩状态与短缺状态相比,货币政策的传导效应会相对弱化,这也就说明,随着流动性状态的转换,我国货币政策传导效应将表现出具有区制依赖的非线性特征。
  • 详情 商业银行房地产贷款零售项目压力测试实证研究——基于VAR模型和马尔科夫转换
    自2007年次贷危机以来,国际上许多大型金融机构一夜之间破产,一时间金融界处处风声鹤唳。在金融危机的背景下,研究银行的稳健性既是商业银行管理层的需要,也是监管部门的要求,为此,银监会要求商业银行开展信用资产压力测试。目前国内压力测试大多数是还停留在主观判定阶段,主要是通过专家咨询法等定性研究的方法来完成。本文从定量的角度出发,使用VAR的脉冲函数及马尔科夫转换,利用某银行成都分行从2004年3月份到2008年10月的房地产零售项目真实数据进行实证研究。
  • 详情 次贷危机对商业银行利率风险管理的启示
    随着利率市场化的推进,我国商业银行面临的利率风险日益凸显。本文分析提出商业银行应借次贷危机之鉴加强对利率风险的识别、度量和管理。还分析得到利率风险和信用风险之间的相关关系,并指出利率风险和信用风险都影响着银行的经营,应同时纳入银行的全面风险管理之中。