• 详情 Minority Shareholder Activism and Corporate Dividend Policy: Evidence from China
    Minority shareholder activism (MSA) on online interactive platforms is a new form of corporate governance in China. This paper investigates whether and how dividend-related MSA affects corporate dividend policies. We find listed firms are more likely to pay dividends and raise payout ratios with MSA. Our baseline findings are robust to a variety of robustness checks. We establish a causal relationship between MSA and future dividend payouts, with both instrumental variable approach and PSM-DID approach, and we provide evidence to show the increasing effect of MSA can be explained by exit threat and voting attendance. Our focused MSA complements the formal voting rights of minority shareholders and overcomes the absence of institutional investor monitoring. Overall, our findings suggest that minority shareholders can effectively monitor management when they are empowered with voice in the age of information.
  • 详情 新药审批制度改革促进医药企业创新了吗? ——基于专利和医药上市公司的实证研究
    党的二十大报告明确指出,推进健康中国建设,把保障人民健康放在优先发展的战略位置。本文基于2015年我国关于药品医疗器械审评审批制度的改革,探究医药领域制度改革对于医药创新的影响。本文的研究结果表明,药审改革大幅缩短了创新药的审评时长,显著提升了医药领域的创新质量,同时激励医药上市公司加大研发投入,增强创新药的研发,探索崭新的技术领域,并提升了公司的经营绩效。异质性分析表明,对于知识产权保护程度更高、市场化程度更高、市场中介组织发育和法律制度环境更完善的地区,以及融资约束更高的企业,药审改革提升医药创新质量的作用更为显著。本文的研究发现,对于我国医药产业由仿制为主转向自主创新为主以及国产创新药的崛起,具有重要的政策启示。
  • 详情 Does Culture Matter in Corporate Cash Holdings?
    This paper identiffes culture as an important factor affecting corporate cash holdings by using China and its national culture, Confucianism, as the setting. We find that firms located in regions with stronger Confucian culture hold persistently higher levels of cash. We employ an instrumental variable to draw causal inference. The culture effect is stronger for more ffnancially-constrained and riskier ffrms, suggesting precautionary motives as the underlying mechanism. We ffnd that the culture effect remains intact after controlling for corporate governance heterogeneity, which rules out the agency motives. Lastly, ffrms’ operating performance indicates that high cash holdings is an efffcient outcome.
  • 详情 Consumption-led Industrial Upgrading
    This paper develops a growth model for understanding the mechanisms behind industrial upgrading in a catching-up economy. In the model, when the market of new consumption varieties emerges, the rising demand drives the incentives of domestic innovation, resulting in technology progress and cost reduction. The cost reduction of existing varieties in turn leads to ìsurplusî of aggregate capital, which seeks opportunities in next new industries that produce new varieties. The dynamic feedback of ìcapital-push new marketîand ìdemand-pull innovationî moves forward the domestic technology frontier and the consumption frontier in an upward spiral, and in this process the dual-sector economic structure ó the co-existence of domestic technology-mature industries and domestic technology-immature industries ó evolves endogenously. Because of the presence of dynamic externality, the laissez-faire equilibrium is inefficient and the optimal development policy involves two-side interventions: suppressing consumption and enhancing capital accumulation in the early stage of the development while reversing the sign to stimulate consumption in a later stage.
  • 详情 Shadow Banking: An Expedient Solution to Government Short-Termism
    We develop a banking model to explain the remarkable growth of China’s shadow banking since the global financial crisis. In the presence of local government interventions for low-quality projects due to short-termism, a policy combination of tightening formal banking and loosening shadow banking can reduce inefficiency given the information asymmetry between banks and regulators. This is because the higher funding liquidity risk of shadow banking incentivizes banks to be more disciplined about the quality of projects. We find consistent empirical evidence that when on-balance-sheet financing was constrained by regulators, banks shifted high-quality projects into shadow banking and rejected low-quality ones.
  • 详情 Managerial Career Concerns and Informational Feedback Effects: Theory and Evidence
    We study the effect of managerial career concerns on informational feedback from stockmarkets. We set up a model in which managers with career concerns can learn information from their own information production or from stock price feedback. A key insight from the model is that if managerial career concerns are high, a less frictional market induces more information production by both managers and speculators. As a result, although price informativeness improves, managers learn less from the stock market, contrasting with the classical view in the literature on stock price feedback. Exploiting a quasi-natural experiment, we document evidence consistent with model predictions.
  • 详情 The real impact of an efficient taxation system
    We examine how improving the efficiency of a country’s tax system via the implementation of the information system affects firms’ behavior, utilizing the implementation of the Golden Tax Project III in China as a natural experiment. The Golden Tax Project III strengthens tax enforcement, while standardizes the application procedures for tax incentives. Based on a large-scale corporate tax survey data, we show that large firms enjoy better access to debt finance and increase take-up of tax benefits since the reform, while keeping their tax burden unchanged. The reform leads large firms to increase investment. On the contrary, the reform increases tax burden for small firms, which offsets the positive effect due to better access to debt finance. The reform has limited impact on small firms’ investment or take-up rate of tax incentives. Our study contributes to the debate on how adopting more efficient information system affects tax administration and firms’ real performances.
  • 详情 Investor Memory and Biased Beliefs: Evidence from the Field
    We survey a large representative sample of retail investors to elicit their memories of stock market investment and return expectations. We then merge the survey data with administrative data of transactions to test a model in which investors form expectations by selectively recalling past experiences similar to the present cue. Our analysis not only uncovers newstylized facts about investor memory, but also provides support for similarity-based recall as a key mechanism of belief formation in ffnancial markets. Market ffuctuations affect investors’ recall: positive market returns cue investors to retrieve episodes of rising markets and recall own performances more positively. Recalled experiences explain a sizable fraction of cross-investor variation in beliefs and dominate actual experiences in explanatory power. We also show that recalled experiences can drive out the explanatory power of recent returns for expected future returns, ruling in a memory-based foundation for return extrapolation.
  • 详情 The Effects of Environmental Policy on Industrial Pollution: A Supply Chain Perspective
    Using plant-level pollution data from Environmental Survey and Reporting Database in China, we analyze how the government's 2007 environmental policy aiming to curb pollution from two-high industries (i.e., high-polluting and high energy-consuming) affect real firm pollution activities across the supply chain. We employ the Differences-in-Differences approach and find that following the 2007 environmental policy, firms in two-high industries that are mostly in the upstream of the supply chain indeed reduce emissions of air and water pollutions significantly (e.g., sulfur dioxide (SO2), chemical oxygen demand (COD), and wastewater). Such reductions are mainly due to higher pollution removal and the increased investments in treatment facilities that are funded by subsidized bank loans such as the China Development Bank (CDB). By contrast, following the 2007 policy, firms in the downstream of two-high industries increase their production levels without any increases in their pollution treatment facilities and capabilities, which leads to increased pollution levels such as SO2 emissions and coal consumption. Furthermore, such adverse spillover effects in downstream industries can be alleviated by CDB loans, which help finance the investments in pollution treatments for these downstream firms. Our findings about direct and unintended spillover effects of the environmental policy suggest that policymakers should carefully consider all potential impacts across the supply chain when designing the package of environmental policies to mitigate unintended adverse consequences.
  • 详情 地方政府债务扩张与企业商业信用供给
    本文基于手工搜集整理的地方政府债务数据和 2007-2019 年中国 A 股非金融行业上市公司财务数据,实证检验了地方政府债务扩张对企业商业信用供给的影响及作用机理。研究结果表明,地方政府债务扩张对地区企业商业信用供给具有显著的抑制作用,且该效应在非国有、小规模、行业竞争程度低、供应商集中度低、处于货币政策趋紧和经济政策不确定性较高时期的企业中更为明显。机制检验发现,地方政府债务规模扩张加剧了企业信贷融资约束、企业经营风险和企业税负压力,进而减少了企业的商业信用供给。进一步研究发现,地方政府债务扩张缩短了企业商业信用的供给期限,并且降低了供给质量。此外,地方政府债务扩张导致企业商业信用供给被动减少,并降低了企业的经营业绩。本研究为加强地方政府债务治理和防范化解系统性金融风险提供参考与借鉴。