所属栏目:新金融/绿色金融/2024/2024年第07期

Hedging Climate Change Risk: A Real-time Market Response Approach
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发布日期:2024年07月22日 上次修订日期:2024年07月22日

摘要

We present a novel methodology for constructing portfolios to hedge economic and financial risks arising from climate change. We utilize ChatGPT-4 to identify climate-related conversations during earnings conference calls and connect these time-stamped transcripts with high-frequency stock price data pinpointed to the conversation level. This approach allows us to assess a company’s dynamic exposure to climate change risks by analyzing real-time stock price responses to discussions about climate issues between managers and analysts. Our proposed portfolio, constructed by taking long (short) positions in stocks with positive (negative) market responses to climate conversations, appreciates in value during future periods with negative aggregate climate news shocks. Compared to portfolios constructed using alternative methods, our real-time market response-based portfolios demonstrate superior out-of-sample hedge performance. A key advantage of our approach is its ability to capture time-series and cross-sectional variations in stocks’ rapidly-evolving exposures to climate risk, relying on the timing of when climate-related issues become salient topics that warrant conference call discussions and real-time market responses to such conversations. Additionally, we showcase the versatility of our approach in hedging other types of dynamic risks: namely political risk and pandemic risk.
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Miao Liu Hedging Climate Change Risk: A Real-time Market Response Approach (2024年07月22日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/dzqk/detail/15775

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