所属栏目:银行与金融机构/政府政策与监管

The Crumbling Wall between Crypto and Non-Crypto Markets: Risk Transmission through Stablecoins
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发布日期:2023年01月04日 上次修订日期:2023年01月04日

摘要

The crypto and noncrypto markets used to be separated from each other. We argue that with the rapid development of stablecoins since 2018, risks are now transmitted between the crypto and noncrypto markets through stablecoins, which are both pegged to noncrypto assets and play a central role in crypto trading. Applying copula-based CoVaR approaches, we find significant risk spillovers between stablecoins and cryptocurrencies as well as between stablecoins and noncrypto markets, which could help explain the tail dependency between the crypto and noncrypto markets from 2019 to 2021. We also document that the risk spillovers through stablecoins are asymmetric—stronger in the direction from the US dollar to the crypto market than vice versa—which suggests the crypto market is re-dollarizing. Further analyses consider alternative explanations, such as the COVID-19 pandemic and institutional crypto holdings, and determine that the primary channels of risk transmission are stablecoins’ US dollar peg to the noncrypto market and their transaction-medium function in the crypto ecosystem. Our results have important implications for financial stability and shed light on the future of stablecoin regulation.
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Yiping Huang; Yang Ji; Juan Lin; Peng Wang The Crumbling Wall between Crypto and Non-Crypto Markets: Risk Transmission through Stablecoins (2023年01月04日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/14743.html

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