所属栏目:资本市场/金融危机

Tail Risk Analysis in Price-Limited Chinese Stock Market: A Censored Autoregressive Conditional FréChet Model Approach
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发布日期:2024年08月08日 上次修订日期:2024年08月08日

摘要

This paper addresses the dynamic tail risk in price-limited financial markets. We propose a novel censored autoregressive conditional Fr´echet model with a fiexible evolution scheme for the time-varying parameters, which allows deciphering the impact of historical information on tail risk from the viewpoint of different risk preferences. The proposed model can well accommodate many important empirical characteristics, such as thick-tailness, extreme risk clustering, and price limits. The empirical analysis of the Chinese stock market reveals the effectiveness of our model in interpreting and predicting time-varying tail behaviors in price-limited equity markets, providing a new tool for financial risk management.
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Tao Xu; Lei Shu; Yu Chen Tail Risk Analysis in Price-Limited Chinese Stock Market: A Censored Autoregressive Conditional FréChet Model Approach (2024年08月08日) https://www.cfrn.com.cn/lw/15855

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