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  • 详情 FinTech and Consumption Resilience to Uncertainty Shocks: Evidence from Digital Wealth Management in China
    Developing countries are taking advantage of FinTech tools to provide more people with convenient access to financial market investment through digital wealth management. Using COVID-19 as an uncertainty shock, we examine whether and how digital wealth management affects the resilience of consumption to shocks based on a unique micro dataset provided by a leading Big Tech platform, Alipay in China. We find that digital wealth management mitigates the response of consumption to uncertainty shocks: residents who participate in digital wealth management, especially in risky asset investments, have a lower reduction in consumption. Importantly, digital wealth management helps improve financial inclusion, with a more pronounced mitigation effect among residents with lower-level wealth, living in less developed areas, and those with lower-level conventional finance accessibility. The mitigation effect works through the wealth channel: those who allocate a larger proportion of risky assets in their portfolio and obtain a higher realized return show more resilience of consumption to negative shocks. We also find that digital wealth management substitutes for conventional bank credit but serves as a complement to FinTech credit in smoothing consumption during uncertainty shocks. Digital wealth management provides a crucial way to improve financial inclusion and the resilience of consumption to shocks.
  • 详情 New Trends, Challenges and Paths of Corporate Governance in the Context of Digitalization and Intelligence Transformation: An Exploration from the Perspective of Green Governance and Sustainable Development
    In the wave of digital and intelligent transformation, corporate governance is undergoing profound changes. This paper, from the perspective of green governance and sustainable development, explores the new trends in corporate governance under this background, such as data-driven decision-making and the application of intelligent technologies in supervision; analyzes the new challenges faced, including data security and privacy protection, and the digital divide; and based on relevant theories, combined with practical cases and using data models and other methods, explores new paths, aiming to provide theoretical and practical guidance for enterprises to achieve the coordinated and simultaneous progress of digitalization, intelligentization, greenization, and sustainable development.
  • 详情 环境行政处罚对企业绿色创新的影响 -基于交错双重差分模型分析
    环境行政处罚作为环境规制的核心手段,在促进企业绿色创新方面发挥着重要作用。深入探究其影响机制及异质性效应是优化环境政策设计的重要议题。本研究以2010—2019年沪深A股上市公司为研究对象,结合网络爬虫技术获取的环境行政处罚数据,运用Staggered DID(交错双重差分模型)与双变量Tobit模型,分析了政府环境处罚对企业绿色创新的影响机制和异质性作用。研究发现,政府绿色行政处罚对企业绿色创新具有正向积极作用:一方面,绿色发明型专利和实用新型专利的申请数量与质量得到提升;另一方面,该效应在控制企业异质性与动态趋势后依然稳健。进一步的异质性分析表明,相较于大型企业,小型企业在行政处罚后展现出更为敏感的绿色创新响应,尤其是实用新型专利的增长表现更为显著;此外,制造业企业的绿色创新提升幅度显著高于非制造业企业。在中介机制方面,分析发现环境行政处罚主要通过改善企业信息披露透明度和缓解融资约束,间接驱动企业的绿色技术创新。更为重要的是,本文发现PM2. 5污染与行政处罚存在显著的交互作用,凸显了区域环境治理与宏观创新战略协同的重要性。基于研究发现,本文提出以下政策建议:一是优化环境规制工具的差异化设计,二是构建动态信用评级体系,三是加强政策协同。这些研究结论为提升环境规制的精准性、激发企业的绿色转型提供了坚实的理论依据和实证支持。
  • 详情 The value of aiming high: industry tournament incentives and supplier innovation
    Recent research highlights the significant impact of managerial industry tournament incentives on internal firm decisions. However, their potential impact on external stakeholders-in the context of evolving product market relationships-has received scant attention. To address this gap, we examine the effect of customer aspiration, incentivized by CEO industry tournaments (CITIs), on supplier innovation. Utilizing customer-supplier pair-level data from 1992 to 2018, we establish that customer CITIs enhance supplier innovation, both in quantity and quality. Additionally, we identify that CITIs positively impact the relationship-specific innovation and market valuation for suppliers. The effect of CITIs is more pronounced when customers are larger, geographically closer, socially connected, and have long-standing relationships with their suppliers. The results remain robust to alternative specifications and considering potential endogeneity issues. Our study highlights the bright side of executives’ industry tournament incentives, which not only drive innovation within the sector but can also positively influence related sectors within the supply chain.
  • 详情 The Optimality of Gradualism in Economies with Financial Markets
    We develop a model economy with active financial markets in which a policymaker's adoption of a gradualistic approach constitutes a Bayesian Nash equilibrium. In our model, the ex ante policy proposal influences the supply side of the economy, while the ex post policy action affects the demand side and shapes market equilibrium. When choosing policies, the policymaker internalizes the impact of her decisions on the precision of the firm-value signal. Moreover, financial markets provide a price signal that informs the government. The policymaker learns about the productivity shocks not only from firm-value performance signals but also from financial market prices. Access to information through both channels creates strong incentives for the policymaker to adopt a gradualistic approach in a time-consistent manner. Smaller policy steps yield more precise information about the productivity shock. These results hold robustly for both exogenous and endogenous information models.
  • 详情 Climate Risk and Corporate Financial Risk: Empirical Evidence from China
    There is substantial evidence indicating that enterprises are negatively impacted by climate risk, with the most direct effects typically occurring in financial domains. This study examines A-share listed companies from 2007 to 2023, employing text analysis to develop the firm-level climate risk indicator and investigate the influence on corporate financial risk. The results show a significant positive correlation between climate risk and financial risk at the firm level. Mechanism analysis shows that the negative impact of climate risk on corporate financial condition is mainly achieved through three paths: increasing financial constraints, reducing inventory reserves, and increasing the degree of maturity mismatch. To address potential endogeneity, this study applies instrumental variable tests, propensity score matching, and a quasi-natural experiment based on the Paris Agreement. Additional tests indicate that reducing the degree of information asymmetry and improving corporate ESG performance can alleviate the negative impact of climate risk on corporate financial conditions. This relationship is more pronounced in high-carbon emission industries. In conclusion, this research deepens the understanding of the link between climate risk and corporate financial risk, providing a new micro perspective for risk management, proactive governance transformation, and the mitigation of financial challenges faced by enterprises.
  • 详情 ESG news and firm value: Evidence from China’s automation of pollution monitoring
    We study how financial markets integrate news about pollution abatement costs into firm values. Using China’s automation of pollution monitoring, we find that firms with factories in bad-news cities---cities that used to report much lower pollution than the automated reading---see significant declines in stock prices. This is consistent with the view that investors expect firms in high-pollution cities to pay significant adjustment and abatement costs to become “greener.” However, the efficiency with which such information is incorporated into prices varies widely---while the market reaction is quick in the Hong Kong stock market, it is considerably delayed in the mainland ones, resulting in a drift. The equity markets expect most of these abatement costs to be paid by private firms and not by state-owned enterprises, and by brown firms and not by green firms.
  • 详情 Soft Information Imbalance Is Bad for Fair Credit Allocation
    Using bank-county-year level mortgage application data, we document that minority borrowers are systematically evaluated with less soft information compared to White borrowers within the same bank-county branch. Using variation in local sunshine as an instrument and conducting a series of robustness checks, we show that the soft information imbalance significantly increases the denial gap between minority and White applicants. However, this imbalance does not appear to affect pricing disparities. Further analysis shows that internal capital reallocation to under-resourced bank branches can serve as an effective strategy to reduce soft information imbalances and, thus, promote more equitable credit allocation. Our results highlight that soft information imbalance is an overlooked but significant factor driving disparities against minority borrowers.
  • 详情 Image-based Asset Pricing in Commodity Futures Markets
    We introduce a deep visualization (DV) framework that turns conventional commodity data into images and extracts predictive signals via convolutional feature learning. Specifically, we encode futures price trajectories and the futures surface as images, then derive four deep‑visualization (DV) predictors, carry ($bs_{DV}$), basis momentum ($bm_{DV}$), momentum ($mom_{DV}$), and skewness ($sk_{DV}$), each of which consistently outperforms its traditional formula‑based counterpart in return predictability. By forming long–short portfolios in the top (bottom) quartile of each DV predictor, we build an image‑based four‑factor model that delivers significant alpha and better explains the cross‑section of commodity returns than existing benchmarks. Further evidence shows that the explanatory power of these image‑based factors is strongly linked to macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical risk. Our findings reveal that transforming conventional financial data into images and relying solely on image-derived features suffices to construct a sophisticated asset pricing model at least in commodity markets, pioneering the paradigm of image‑based asset pricing.
  • 详情 Banking on Bailouts
    Banks have a significant funding-cost advantage if their liabilities are protected by bailout guarantees. We construct a corporate finance-style model showing that banks can exploit this funding-cost advantage by just intermediating funds between investors and ultimate borrowers, thereby earning the spread between their reduced funding rate and the competitive market rate. This mechanism leads to a crowding-out of direct market finance and real effects for bank borrowers at the intensive margin: banks protected by bailout guarantees induce their borrowers to leverage excessively, to overinvest, and to conduct inferior high-risk projects. We confirm our model predictions using U.S. panel data, exploiting exogenous changes in banks' political connections, which cause variation in bailout expectations. At the bank level, we find that higher bailout probabilities are associated with more wholesale debt funding and lending. Controlling for loan demand, we confirm this effect on bank lending at the bank-firm level and find evidence on loan pricing consistent with a shift towards riskier borrower real investments. Finally, at the firm level, we find that firms linked to banks that experience an expansion in their bailout guarantees show an increase in their leverage, higher investment levels with indications of overinvestment, and lower productivity.