transparency

  • 详情 Quantifying human capital disclosure in China with textual analysis
    Purpose – Estimates disclosure of human capital management for Chinese listed companies. Investigate the patterns ofthe disclosure of human capital management acrossindustries and regions. Examine the determinants of human capital management disclosure in China. Examine the association between human capital management disclosure and firm performance. Design/methodology/approach – We employ natural language processing techniques on annual reports’ management discussion and analysissections.We construct exposuremeasuresforten human capitalmanagement dimensions and synthesize them into one comprehensive measure of human capital management disclosure. We conduct empirical analysis on the measure using a sample of Chinese listed companies during 2009–2022. Findings – We construct a measure of human capital management disclosure for 5,153 Chinese companies during 2009–2022. We find that firms with high HCM disclosure are more labor intensive and have more cash holdings and R&D expenditure but have lower sales growth, market-to-book ratio and leverage. HCM disclosure is associated with better future accounting performance but poor future market valuation. There are substantial variations in HCM disclosure across industries, geographic regions and ownership types. HCM disclosure has increased significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic. Social implications – The increased HCM disclosure and its association with firm operating performance and market valuation indicate the relevance of HCM in corporate management and underscore the need for more robust and standardized disclosure of HCM in China. Our findingssupport recent regulatory efforts by CSRC to enhance the transparency and accountability in HCM disclosures and advocate for more explicit and specific HCM disclosure requirements in the future. Originality/value – We propose a quantitative measure of human capital management disclosure, which can be modified to apply to other markets. We construct a comprehensive, ready-to-use dataset for HCM disclosure for Chinese listed companies and conduct descriptive analysis on the dataset. We identify the patterns of human capital management disclosure and its determinants in China.
  • 详情 Freight Activity and Stock Returns: Evidence from Truck-Level Geolocation Data
    This paper investigates whether firm-level freight activity captures corporate fundamentals and predicts stock returns. Using smartphone geolocation data of truck drivers from 2019 to 2024, we construct a novel freight growth index (FGI) to quantify firms’ freight activity in the Chinese stock market. We find that firms’ freight growth is strongly associated with current operating performance and predicts future stock returns. A long-short portfolio sorted on FGI generates significant risk-adjusted monthly returns ranging from 57 to 72 basis points. Further evidence suggests that freight growth forecasts earnings announcement returns and is more predictive for firms with low information transparency. Moreover, freight growth provides incremental information in predicting stock returns beyond analyst forecasts. Our findings highlight that firm-level freight activity contains novel insights into firm fundamentals and stock pricing.
  • 详情 The More You See, The Less You Agree: Corporate Transparency and Disagreement
    Traditional information asymmetry theories suggest that greater corporate transparency should reduce investor disagreement. Using Chinese mutual fund holdings, we document the opposite pattern: transparency amplifies disagreement among institutional investors. Mechanism tests show that transparency discourages herding while intensifying private information acquisition among fund managers. The effect is stronger for growth-oriented and high-skill funds, and during periods of elevated market sentiment, and among firms with lower credibility, excessive disclosure frequency, and greater investor attention. Further analysis indicates that this transparency-induced disagreement stems from informed trading rather than noise, thereby enhancing price informativeness and market efficiency. Overall, the evidence reveals the dual nature of transparency as both an informational input and a behavioral catalyst that increases disagreement in financial markets.
  • 详情 The Value of Digital Finance: Evidence from the Geographical Distribution of Corporate Supply Chains
    This study investigates how the development of digital finance influences the geographical distribution of corporate supply chains using data from Chinese A-share listed companies from 2010 to 2023. We examine whether digital finance enables firms to overcome traditional geographical constraints and adopt different supply chain distribution strategies. The analysis identifies two primary mechanisms through which digital finance influences supply chain geography: governance effects, which operate through enhanced risk management and information transparency, and financing effects, which function through alleviated capital constraints and trade credit provision. We further explore heterogeneous impacts across four dimensions: regional economic development, regional digital infrastructure, industry market competition, and enterprise lifecycle stages. By examining the geographical distribution of supply chains as an outcome of digital finance development, this study provides novel evidence on the micro-governance implications of digital finance. Our findings contribute to understanding how digital finance fundamentally changes the geographical constraints that have historically shaped supplier selection decisions and enables firms to develop more flexible supply chain configurations.
  • 详情 Can Artificial Intelligence Reduce Corporate Stock Price Crash Risk in China?
    This study examines the effect of artificial intelligence (AI) adoption on stock price crash risk using panel data from Chinese A-share listed firms from 2001 to 2022. We find that higher levels of AI application significantly reduce crash risk, primarily by enhancing information transparency, easing financial constraints, and promoting innovation. Notably, AI improves transparency within supply chains by reducing information asymmetry between upstream and downstream firms, thereby enhancing information flow and reducing market frictions. Among AI types, machine learning proves most effective in lowering crash risk due to its data-processing and forecasting capabilities, while natural language processing and computer vision show weaker effects. The impact of AI is particularly pronounced in non-government-regulated industries and high-tech firms. Moreover, its risk-mitigating effect becomes increasingly significant over time. These results are robust to instrumental variable estimation and staggered difference-in-differences (DID) designs. These findings highlight the strategic role of AI in risk management and offer practical implications for firms and policymakers aiming to enhance transparency, financial resilience, and long-term value creation.
  • 详情 Do ETFs Constrain Corporate Earnings Management? Evidence from China
    This paper examines the impact of Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) ownership on corporate earnings management. We find that ETF ownership is associated with a significant reduction in earnings management, and this result remains robust across a wide range of endogeneity tests and robustness checks. Further analyses reveal that ETFs exert a pronounced mitigating effect on sales manipulation, production manipulation, and expense manipulation. Mechanism tests indicate that ETFs curb earnings management by improving stock liquidity and strengthening external monitoring. We also find that the influence of ETFs is stronger in private firms, in firms with lower information transparency, and in firms with CEO duality, suggesting that ETFs serve as a more prominent external governance force when internal governance mechanisms are relatively weak. Overall, this study enriches the literature on the economic consequences of ETFs and provides new empirical evidence that financial innovation in emerging markets can help alleviate the information risk faced by investors.
  • 详情 The Financialisation of China's Infrastructure Through Reits: Does Institutional Capital Matter?
    This paper examines the role of institutional investors in shaping pricing dynamics within China’s nascent infrastructure Real Estate Investment Trust market. Introduced in 2021, China’s REITs have rapidly gained policy and market attention as a tool for financing large-scale infrastructure projects through equity-based securitisation. Unlike mature REIT markets, China’s infrastructure REITs are characterised by a high concentration of institutional ownership dominated by state-owned financial institutions. Using panel data on first 9 REITs from May 2021 to April 2024, we find that institutional ownership significantly boosts the premium to net asset value. This effect operates primarily through two channels: reduced market liquidity and increased idiosyncratic return volatility, likely reflecting institutions’ trading activity and informational advantages. The findings highlight how institutional capital serves as a confidence signal in China’s emerging REITs ecosystem. The study contributes to the global REITs literature by offering insights from an emerging market context and provides policy recommendations to guide China’s REITs market development toward greater transparency, diversity, and long-term resilience.
  • 详情 The RegTech Edge: Digitalized SASAC Oversight and Mergers & Acquisitions
    This study investigates the impact of RegTech adoption in the M&A regulatory review process on deal performance. Leveraging the staggered implementation of the SOEs Online Supervision System (SOSS) by China’s State-Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) across its central and 31 provincial offices from 2018 to 2021, we find that SOSS directly enhances SASAC’s decision-making efficiency and improves its capacity to screen and approve higher-quality M&A deals. More importantly, SOE-led M&A transactions exhibit higher announcement returns as well as improved long-run stock and operating performance following the system’s implementation. The positive impact of SOSS is more pronounced for acquirers with stronger technological infrastructure, in transactions characterized by low transparency and weak governance, and in provinces with more stringent external scrutiny. Overall, by addressing regulator-firm information asymmetry and reinforcing managerial accountability, SOSS improves regulatory effectiveness in overseeing major investment activities among SOEs.
  • 详情 Does Auction Design Facilitate Collusion?
    This paper examines how auction design can unintentionally facilitate bidder collusion in land market. Departing from the dominant view that attributes low land concession revenues to corruption, we highlight how features of auction structure enable bidder-side collusion, suppressing sale prices. Using a dataset of land auctions from 15 Chinese cities (2006–2016), we find that two-stage (listing) auctions are significantly more susceptible to collusion than one-stage formats. Empirical evidence shows that sales concluding at the (secret) reserve price occur disproportionately in two-stage auctions, even after controlling for land and market characteristics. We argue that the transparency and sequencing of two-stage auctions, while designed to enhance fairness, inadvertently reduce monitoring costs and facilitate tacit bidder coordination. Our findings underscore the need to jointly consider auction format and reserve price policy in designing land sales to enhance market efficiency and mitigate collusion risks.
  • 详情 Pre-Trade Transparency in Opaque Dealer Markets
    This paper investigates the causal impact of pre-trade transparency on the market liquidity of an over-the-counter-style market by leveraging a natural experiment in China’s interbank corporate bond market. We find that turnover, market liquidity, and aggregate bond returns significantly declined when the regulators unexpectedly suspended real-time quote dissemination in March 2023. Consistent with our expectation, these effects were mainly focused on interbank bonds, not exchange bonds, and bonds with lower credit ratings and longer maturities. This study contributes novel evidence to the transparency literature and provides insights for policymakers in emerging markets weighing the trade-offs between data governance and market efficiency.