• 详情 Firm specific currency exposure, derivatives use and stock return
    Firms, which trade in today’s open economy often involved multi-currency transactions, will have their stock returns influenced by traded transaction currencies variations. Frequently, these firms also use derivatives for either active (hedging and speculative) or passive (hedging) currency risk management. It is therefore nontrivial to analyse empirically for these firms the relationship between stock return, currency risk exposure, and the motive of their derivatives use. This paper aims to test the relationships, via a two-factor market return model, which is based on the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (Ross, 1976). Descriptive and Inferential statistical tests are implemented on published accounting data (cross sectional and time series) for 69 Australian listed firms excluding non-financial institutions. Statistical test results reveal that there is a weak positive relationship between stock return and currency risk exposure level. The test results also suggest a negative relationship between the currency risk level and the motive (either hedging, speculative or both) of derivatives use. These findings are consistent with the modern finance theory.
  • 详情 汇率对出口价格转嫁率的实证分析
    本文研究的是日本进入浮动汇率以来日元汇率对出口价格的传递率及其特征。通过建立汇率的出口价格传递率模型进行实证分析得到以下结论:日本进入浮动汇率的33年来,日元汇率的短期和长期出口价格传递率分别为-0.4956和-0.6583,日元汇率升值幅度越大,其出口价格传递率越高;日元汇率对出口价格的短期传递率呈现下降趋势;八十年代中期以后,日本国内批发物价对同行业的出口价格没有明显的影响。
  • 详情 可转换公司债定价问题研究
    基于可转债中包含的美式期权特征,本文认为先分解可转债价值再作独立估价的方法是不可行的;与此相对,二项分布数值定价模型能较好地融入可转债的各项附加条款,并处理定价中可能出现的股价路径依赖问题。本文描述了各种附加条款的模型处理方法,并针对国内证券市场的实际,讨论了理论模型的适用性问题。
  • 详情 关于确立农业发展银行在我国农业金融中主导地位的初探
    基于对我国农业和农村经济现状的认识和理解以及对整个农村金融改革与发展的判断与分析,本文认为对农村政策金融即农业发展银行功能重新进行定位和调整,确立农业发展银行在我国农村金融中的主导地位1,建立起合理有效的运行机制,是促进我国农业发展,解决“三农问题”的关键。
  • 详情 贷后管理和风险管理的关系
    贷后管理和风险管理的内涵与特点;从管理的对象看、从工作的内容看、从工作方式看、从问责看等方面区分贷后管理和风险管理关系。
  • 详情 保险产品客户资源价值战略评估方法研究
    保险产品的市场价值评估是保险公司战略管理研究的重要内容,本文主要介绍利用效用函数、概率转移矩阵两种方法对客户资源价值进行评估。
  • 详情 汇率对进口价格转嫁率的实证分析---------以1971~2003年的日本为例
    本文研究的是日本进入浮动汇率以来日元汇率对进口价格的转嫁率及其特征。实证分析结果表明,1971年至2003年日元汇率的短期和长期进口价格转嫁率分别为0.60和0.75。进入浮动汇率以来,日元汇率对进口价格的转嫁率呈现逐步下降的趋势。从细分行业来看,化学制品、能源的短期汇率转嫁率下降速度较快。日元汇率对进口价格的转嫁率逐步走低的原因主要有日本海外直接投资的增加导致企业内贸易不断扩大和90年代以来全球低通货膨胀的宏观经济环境。
  • 详情 Nonparametric Specification Testing for Continuous-Time Models with Applications to Term S
    We develop a nonparametric specification test for continuous-time models using the transition density. Using a data transform and correcting for boundary bias of kernel estimators, our test is robust to serial dependence in data and provides excellent finite sample performance. Besides univariate diffusion models, our test is applicable to a wide variety of continuous-time and discretetime dynamic models, including time-inhomogeneous diffusion, GARCH, stochastic volatility, regimeswitching,jump-diffusion, and multivariate diffusion models. A class of separate inference procedures is also proposed to help gauge possible sources of model misspecification. We strongly reject a variety of univariate diffusion models for daily Eurodollar spot rates and some popular multivariate affine term structure models for monthly U.S. Treasury yields.
  • 详情 外国公司(含银行)在美公开上市形式之分析
    近几十年来,随着全球各行业国际化趋势的加剧,境外上市日益形成一种重要的趋势。各国证券交易所及市场为在全球证券交易中扮演更吃重的角色,纷纷利用提高技术水平及放松资本流动限制等手段吸引国际企业在各自市场发行股票。本文主要内容有: 1.异国上市的动机分析 2.美国市场上市的主要裨益 3.美国公开上市的形式及其选择,ADR 和GRS; 主要银行在各类形式上的分布 4.建议
  • 详情 Trading Volume and Asset Prices
    Price and quantity are the two fundamental variables in the analysis of market interactions. Yet the study of financial markets has focused primarily on the behavior of asset prices and their relation to economic fundamentals. Much less attention has been devoted to the understanding of quantities such as trading volume. Only recently, there has been a growing body of work to link price {\it and} volume to economic fundamentals. In this paper, I review some of these work within a unified framework. I start by describing an intertemporal asset pricing model that explicitly models investors' trading motives, their optimal portfolio choices and the resulting equilibrium asset prices. I then examine the price-volume implications within the framework of the model. Finally, I discuss the results from the empirical analysis of volume and stock returns based on the data of the U.S. stock market. The theoretical analysis together with its empirical support clearly demonstrate that volume and prices are jointly linked to the economic fundamentals, e.g., the risks of the assets and the investors' attitude toward them. Moreover, the behavior of volume is closely related to the behavior of prices and from which we can learn a great deal about the prices as well as the economic fundamentals.