• 详情 关于城商行金融创新的思考
    随着我国资本市场的日益成长壮大,直接融资的比例不断提高,吸存与放贷的难度越来越大,大量优质客户也开始转向资本市场直接融资,城商行受到“银行脱媒”的挤压影响越来越严重。在这种情况下,城商行只有着眼未来,不断深化改革,融入区域经济,加强同业合作,努力实现金融创新,才能在激烈的竞争中缩小与对手的差距,形成独具特色的经营优势,走出一条符合自身特点的发展之路。
  • 详情 货币:一种“在现实中存在的”前提思考
    为了真正地把握、真实地理解马克思货币哲学,也就有必要首先发掘埋藏在文本中的马克思哲学所理解货币的立足地,只有找到了马克思货币哲学的这个前提,我们才有可能达到真实地理解马克思货币哲学的思想原貌。
  • 详情 Earnings Management, Underwriter Reputation, and Marketization: Evidence from IPO Market in China
    With a sample of 504 IPO issuers over a period of 2002-2008 in China, this paper studies a previously ignored issue by examining the relationship between pre-IPO earnings management and underwriter reputation for issuers with different level of marketization. We document that underwriter reputation is negatively related to pre-IPO earnings management only if the issuer is highly marketized. Specifically, we find a significantly negative relationship between pre-IPO earnings management and underwriter reputation if the issuer is a non-state-owned enterprise (NSOE) issuer, a small-size issuer, or is listed on the Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) Board. No significant association is found for the state-owned enterprise (SOE) issuers, the large issuers, or Main Board issuers. We argue that the results are driven by the fact that issuers in the NSOE, small-sized, or SME market segment have more incentives to signal their earnings quality to avoid adverse selection by the investors, and/or reputable underwriters are more influential over their clients in mitigating earnings management.
  • 详情 Does the Location of Stock Exchange Matter? A Within-Country Analysis
    The current study documents an interesting phenomenon that retail investors prefer to invest in stocks listed at the stock exchange that is geographically close to them in China. This pattern is robust when we control for the well-documented local bias within a country. Among companies with similar distances to both stock exchanges, investors still display a much stronger tendency to invest in locally-listed companies. Among stocks with similar distances to both stock exchanges, those listed in Shanghai (Shenzhen) co-move more in returns and volume, with the benchmark at the Shanghai (Shenzhen) stock exchange. Such a preference for local exchange seems not to be motivated by information advantage, because investors do not obtain abnormal returns from their trades on stocks listed nearby. Our findings provide additional evidence that non-information-based familiarity bias induces investment and that such investor biases and exchange-level sentiment influence asset price formation.
  • 详情 Is Warrant Really a Derivative? Evidence from the Chinese Warrant Market
    China launched her warrant market in August 2005 in the split share structure reform of listed companies. As up to now, equity trading on margin and short-sale of any form are still prohibited in China. This warrant market enables investors to trade on information that otherwise might be prohibitively expensive to trade on. The Chinese warrant market created top trading volume and turnover with only a handful of different warrants traded. This paper first studies the Chinese warrant market. Empirical evidence shows that the market prices of warrants are much higher systematically than the Black-Scholes prices with historical volatility. Moreover, the paper documents ample evidence that the one-dimensional diffusion model does not apply well in the Chinese warrant market. The prices of a warrant and its underlying asset do not support the monotonicity, perfect correlation and option redundancy properties. The paper also studies the cumulated gains of a delta-hedged warrant portfolio. In the Chinese warrant market, the cumulated delta-hedged gains for almost all expired warrants are negative. The negative gains are mainly driven by the volatility risk, and the trading values of the warrants for puts and the market risk for calls. The investors are trading some other risks in addition to the underlying risk.
  • 详情 China’s Stock Market Integration with a Leading Power and a Close Neighbor
    Current integration and co-movement among international stock markets has been boosted by increased globalization of the world economy, and profit-chasing capital surfing across borders. With a reputation as the fastest growing economy in the world, China’s stock market has continued gaining momentum during recent years and incurred growing attention from academicians, as well as practitioners. Taking into account economic and geographical considerations, the US and Hong Kong are considerably the most comparable stock markets to China. As the usual vector error correction model (VECM) could overlook the long memory feature of cointegration residual series, which can in turn exert bias on the resulting inferences, we chose to employ a fractionally integrated VECM (FIVECM) in this paper to investigate the long-term cointegration relations binding China’s stock market to the aforementioned stock markets. In addition, by augmenting the FIVECM with multivariate GARCH model, the return transmission and volatility spillover between market return series were revealed simultaneously. Our empirical results show that China’s stock market is fractionally cointegrated with the two markets, and it appears that China’s stock market has stronger ties with its neighboring Hong Kong market than with the world superpower, the US market.
  • 详情 Stock Volatility in the Segmented Chinese Stock Markets: A SWARCH Approach
    This study adopts the Markov-switching ARCH (hereafter SWARCH) model to examine the volatility nature and volatility linkages of four segmented Chinese stock indices (SHA, SZA, SHB, and SZB). Our empirical findings are consistent with the following notions. First, we find strong evidence of regime shift in the volatility of four segmented markets and SWARCH model appears to outperform standard GARCH family models. Second, although there are some common features of volatility switch in segmented markets, there exist a few difference: (i)compared with the A-share markets, B-share markets are more volatile and shift more frequently between high- and low-volatility states; (ii) B-share markets have longer stays at high volatility state than the A-share markets; (iii) the relative magnitude of the high volatility compared with that of the low volatility is much greater than the case in two A-share markets. Third, B-share markets are found to be more sensitive to international shocks, while the A-share markets seem immune to international spillovers of volatility. Finally, analyses of volatility spillover effect among the four stock markets indicate that the A-share markets play a dominant role in volatility in Chinese stock markets.
  • 详情 Intra-Group Financing in Business Groups: Mitigating Financing Constraint versus Expropriation
    Two motivations of internal financing in business groups are studied using Chinese data: cross-financing to relieve severe financing constraints, and expropriation from minority shareholders in environments with weak corporate governance. We document the existence of both, and discuss their implications on both the efficiency and magnitude of intra-group financing. We find that, from the business group perspective, the internal capital market is most efficient when the groups are well governed and have a pressing need to mitigate external financing constraints.
  • 详情 微型金融绩效研究述评
    中国商业性小额贷款公司大范围试点提出了如何对这些小额贷款公司进行绩效评价的现实问题,对已有微型金融绩效研究的回顾有助于回应这一问题。微型金融绩效具有双重标准,社会绩效和财务绩效缺一不可,但两者之间可能存在权衡关系。社会绩效可进一步区分为覆盖面与福利影响两个维度。覆盖面与财务绩效的直接衡量指标具有多样性,绩效测度时既可利用指标直接衡量,也可以通过因子分析法、DEA等方法来综合测度,两类方法各有优劣。福利影响评价研究的核心难题在于存在样本偏差,不同的评价方法因其对样本偏差的控制差异会带来不同的评价结论。
  • 详情 International diversification benefits: An investigation from the perspective of Chinese investors
    This paper investigates the potential benefits of international diversification with short selling constraints from the perspective of Chinese investors. Based on a stream of time-rolling realized portfolios, we show that Chinese investors can gain substantially from international investments. In particular, the expected portfolio returns as well as the risk-adjusted returns can be greatly enhanced by diversifying over emerging markets, and the portfolio risk can be largely reduced by investing in developed markets in comparison with purely domestic investments. The results are robust when the out-of-sample tests are employed and when investors start with a more mean-variance efficient domestic portfolio. In addition, our analysis illustrates that optimal portfolio weights vary significantly over time due to fluctuations in the correlations among international markets, suggesting that international portfolios need to be rebalanced frequently in order to generate the greatest possible diversification benefits.